Bitcoin 6.1 Evening Analysis
Intraday Change: +0.50%
Price Range: High 104859 / Low 103249
Net Inflow: -125 million (Short funds dominate)
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🔹 Trend Direction: Bearish Consolidation
The price has been consistently operating near the lower Bollinger Band, still under pressure from shorts, with weak rebounds.
All three BOLL lines are opening downward, confirming that the trend remains in a downward channel consolidation.
The short-term K-line has stopped falling at 103032, forming weak support, but there is significant pressure above.
MACD Indicator:
Both DIF and DEA are in negative territory, with shorts dominating.
The red bars are slightly converging, indicating weakening short momentum, but no golden cross has occurred, leaving the sustainability of the rebound in doubt.
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Combining with news perspective
The macro outlook is bearish: US stocks are fluctuating + market risk aversion remains, ETF inflows are weak.
On-chain data shows that small and medium funds are accumulating in batches, with a certain defensive position below.
The intraday fluctuation range is narrowing, with the main force in a wait-and-see adjustment phase.
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📌 Long Position (Short-term Bet on Rebound):
Support Point: Around 102800 ~ 103200
If the price approaches the lower band and stops falling again, and MACD starts to flatten/golden cross, a light position can be tried for a long.
📌 Short Position (Rebound Short):
Resistance Point: Around 105100 ~ 105500
If the rebound reaches the middle band but does not break through with volume, accompanied by a bearish candle and decreased volume, a short position can be arranged.
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✅ Conclusion in One Sentence:
> Currently, Bitcoin is still in a downward channel; the operation suggests 'buy on dips and short on rallies', focusing on quick in-and-out for short-term, not suitable for heavy positions. #PCE数据来袭 #区块链 $BTC
