Trend Analysis - Screenshot time is May 30, 2025, current price 105,950
From the 1-hour, 4-hour, and daily levels, Bitcoin (BTC) today shows a weak rebound structure after probing the bottom, but overall it is still in a short-term bearish structure:
1-hour chart analysis:
After a significant drop below the dense moving average zone, there is a slight rebound, but the current price is still running below the short-term moving averages;
The BOLL middle track has not been broken, limiting the height of the rebound;
The SAR indicator has turned green, with short-term bearish dominance, and the rebound is likely to be a weak repair.
4-hour chart analysis:
The structure shows a clear M-top pattern with the right shoulder breaking down, indicating a bearish pattern;
Multiple moving averages are turning down, aligning with bearish momentum;
The previous support level of 106500 has been breached, and the current rebound faces heavy pressure.
Daily chart analysis:
The daily trend is still in a bullish larger structure, but a top structure is dampening;
Currently, it is a pullback to the previous Fibonacci 38.2% area, which is a technical adjustment;
There is dense resistance above, and until the breakdown is clear, treat it as a sideways bearish outlook.
Operational strategy suggestion (mainly short-term):
Currently, 105,950 is a weak rebound position, overall lacking strong offensive momentum, suggesting caution against a stagnation drop after the rebound.
Directional expectations:
First target level: 106800~107200
Second target level: 107900~108200
Stop loss level: 105000
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