Last night, U.S. stocks fell across the board, and Bitcoin was dragged down to around $62,500. The Federal Reserve's meeting minutes released hawkish signals, with the probability of a rate cut in July dropping to 35%. The U.S. federal court ruled that the Trump administration's tariff policy exceeded its authority, suspending the $350 billion tariff measures on goods, which may temporarily lower the CPI by 0.3-0.5 percentage points, but mid-term risks of policy reversals must be monitored.
In the cryptocurrency market, presidential candidate Vance proposed a 'Bitcoin Holder Doubling Plan,' and the SEC is accelerating the review of several spot Ethereum ETFs. Currently, Bitcoin is oscillating in the $62,000-$65,000 range, and a breakout requires waiting for three major signals: a shift in Federal Reserve policy, the approval of ETH ETFs, and clarity on U.S. election policies.
In terms of operations, it is recommended to maintain a core position by dollar-cost averaging in the $62,000-$63,000 range, with a flexible position not exceeding 10% to participate in trending coins, and to retain over 20% USDT to manage risks. Investors should maintain stable cash flow, set price alerts to avoid frequent monitoring, and limit weekly reviews to within 3 hours to cope with market uncertainties.
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