The Federal Reserve firmly locks in interest rates! The crypto world faces a life-and-death line of $100,000 with a shocking showdown, the long and short positions meat grinder has started! New York Fed President Williams bluntly stated that 'there will be no interest rate cuts at least before September,' as the market probability for a June rate cut drops below 5%. Bitcoin ETF saw an outflow of $346.8 million in a single day but BlackRock's IBIT managed to attract $125 million against the trend, intensifying the institutional long-short showdown!

Bitcoin price hangs by a thread at $105,000, with a strong support level at $101,000 becoming the last line of defense. Whales dumped $365 million worth of 40x leveraged short positions at $107,000, betting on a 30% price crash to $70,000! Historical data reappears but emotions differ vastly, with programmatic trading poised to trigger a chain reaction of liquidations at any moment. Over 70,000 people on the entire network faced liquidation in 24 hours, with open interest in derivatives surging by 23%, a liquidity crisis is imminent!

Regulatory policies are tearing the market apart: Hong Kong's 'Stablecoin Regulations' will take effect on August 1, while the U.S. SEC continues its investigation into projects like Solana! Ethereum has fallen back to $2,492 due to slowing institutional funds, while DeFi tokens like Flare surged by 12% against the trend. Citigroup predicts that the market value of altcoins could double by 2025! Retail investors are fighting to zero amidst 100x leverage, yet BlackRock suggests allocating 2% of assets to Bitcoin. MicroStrategy splurged $730 million to increase its holdings by 705 BTC, while Wall Street quietly maneuvers!

The CPI data on June 12 will be a crucial trigger; if it rebounds beyond expectations, it will completely reverse rate cut expectations! A Bitcoin drop below $101,000 could trigger a $15 billion liquidation wave, probing down to $75,000; if it stabilizes, it may challenge $115,000, replaying the halving market! The countdown for Hong Kong's compliance is creating a trillion-dollar market, but the SEC is holding the sword of pledge ETF review high. Giants like Standard Chartered and JD.com are rushing to secure stablecoin licenses, and the industry landscape is facing reconstruction!

Short-term traders need to set $103,000 as their life-and-death stop-loss line; if it falls below this, exit decisively. Long-term investors can use the pullback to enter compliant ETFs like BlackRock's IBIT, betting on the initiation of an institutional bull market! But beware of sudden hawkish moves from the Federal Reserve, geopolitical black swans, and regulatory upheavals — the outcome of the $100,000 defense battle may determine whether the crypto world faces collapse or the start of a new bull market in the next six months. A century's gamble has no way back!

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