Analysis time: May 25, 2025
Current price: 171.78 USDT
Review of yesterday: SOL has continuously retraced from above 187, after breaking through the key support at 176 yesterday, it quickly dropped to the 171.7 area, forming a long bearish candle body, and after the market panic was released, it welcomed a key support zone.
1. Daily level: After double needles testing the bottom, it is under pressure to fall back, the structure enters a key turning point
K-line structure: The previous two upper shadow bullish lines show weak bullish rebound, yesterday's large bearish engulfed the previous two days' gains, sentiment turned bearish;
Moving average system:
EMA7=165.53, EMA50=168.57, EMA200=155.63;
The price has just stepped back above EMA50 (168.57), and EMA7 has not yet fallen below, still leaving room for speculation;
BOLL band:
Middle track=168.15, price is close to the middle track and between the lower track, entering the 'consolidation zone';
Lower track support (about 160.77) is the daily limit support level;
MACD:
Red bars weaken, dual lines are about to dead cross, but have not yet fully expanded;
RSI: Retraced to 46, critical midpoint, has not yet entered panic extreme.
Conclusion: The daily line has undergone a violent wash after experiencing a continuation upward, if short-term does not continue to break down after panic release, it will build a technical rebound support point in the 168–170 range.
2. 4-hour level: Pullback to the Bollinger middle track + multi-line resonance zone, or brewing a new round of rebound momentum
K-line pattern: Forms an almost 'Evening Star' structure, but the current 4-hour K-line is a bottom-rebounding lower shadow line, showing signs of stabilization;
Bollinger Band Analysis:
Upper track: 183.25, middle track: 168.15, lower track: 153.05;
The current price has just pierced the middle track and stabilized above the lower track (171.7);
Moving average group:
EMA100=164.13, EMA200=155.63, forming a golden channel;
The short-term EMA7 (165.53) has crossed below EMA50 (168.57), but once it stabilizes, a rapid rebound will occur;
Alligator Indicator:
JAW, TEETH, LIPS are respectively: 169.95, 169.72, 169.72;
The current price has just left the 'Alligator's mouth', if it recovers to 173, it will trigger a reversal upwards.
Conclusion: 4-hour downward momentum pauses, if stabilizing in the 169.5–170.5 area, there is room for rapid recovery and upward attack to 174–178.
3. 1-hour level: Rapid sell-off and bottom testing, initial signs of bottom stabilization appear
K-line structure: The latest 1-hour K-line shows a lower shadow bullish candle, forming a short-term reversal hammer line;
Bollinger track: The price has penetrated the lower track support (oversold), with the possibility of a rebound to the Bollinger middle track at 174.5 at any time;
Short-term moving averages EMA7/14: A clear dead cross has formed, if it quickly stabilizes above 173.5 in the future, it will form a 'small W bottom reversal structure';
MACD and RSI:
MACD green bars peak, starting to shrink;
RSI fell below 33, indicating severe short-term overselling, with high potential for recovery.
Conclusion: Short-term indicators are severely oversold, a technical rebound is imminent, prioritize buying on dips.
4. Practical strategy layout (combining technology + profit-loss ratio)
Type Point range Operation suggestion Technical logic
Opening position: 171.69
First Zhi Ying: 174.32
Second Zhi Ying: 176.99
Zhi Sun position: 169.11
