Bitcoin’s Pre-Halving Fractal Is Back — And It’s Predicting $120K
Visual Idea: Chart overlay of BTC’s 2020 pre-halving vs. current 2025 structure (RSI, volume, moving averages aligned).
Analysis💻$BTC
We’re 6 weeks post-halving — and history is rhyming.
2020 vs. 2025 Fractal Comparison:
In 2020, BTC dipped ~15% post-halving before exploding 4x in the next 6 months.
2025 is tracing a similar path:
~14% correction post-halving
RSI reset to 48 on daily
Volume drying up = spring loading
On-Chain Clue: Dormant Supply Surge
Dormant BTC wallets (2y+) just hit new ATH — a clear long-term accumulation phase.
When this happened in Sept 2020 → BTC went from $10.5K → $64K in 7 months.
Key Technical Zones 🧠
Support: $104,000 – $105,000 (high-volume node)
Resistance: $107,500 → Break of this targets $112,000 fast
Hidden Bull Divergence on 4h MACD forming
Strategy Suggestion:
🟢Long Entry: Break + Retest of $106,000
TP1: $107,500
TP2: $112,000
Stop: $104,200
Risk/Reward: ~1:2.8 (very strong setup)
This isn’t just a bounce — it’s a macro structure lining up. If BTC follows its halving fractal, $120K is a conservative target by Q3.
