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$BTC Arrived at its range & all time high area. This is resistance until it's not. Generally not where you want to be adding on crazy amounts of risk until a proper breakout is confirmed. A daily close would be a good start.
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The $SPX bounce has been pretty insane, recovering back to its yearly open and is now green since Liberation day. Although I've been loving this bounce after buying into tech stocks during the first week of April (shared on here), the sheer pace of this bounce is what makes me a little cautious. This recovery, although a smaller move, has only taken about a month. Compared to for example 3 months after the covid crash which was paired with massive stimulus. Something we don't have (yet). I did scale out a good bunch of profits after most of the buys have been up 30-50% in the matter of weeks. Generally you expect those returns over 1-3 years on average. Not 4 weeks. So happy to scale out in that regard and have some cash on the side. As for $BTC, it has been strong during the tariff drama but has kinda stalled against $SPX since the US/China "deal" was made. I would assume some higher low being created does put some pressure on BTC as well. If stocks go down and BTC holds up well then that'd be incredibly bullish but I think this mostly comes down to the pace of the sell off (when it comes). Anyways, we'll see what we get. I think we've gone from sentiment expecting a 1929 depression repeat to a lot of good news being baked in now, within a 1 month time span. Expecting summer to be mostly choppy and don't like the risk/reward on equities much in the short/mid term. If we get 5250 or 5500 I'll start slowly scaling back in exposure. For now I'm happy yielding 4-5% on the cash while I wait out what the market does next.
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Most of $BTC's returns this month have come during the US & EU trading sessions. Meanwhile, the Asia session has been rather bearish and has been flat over the month and negative during the last week.
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The Big Hyperliquid Whale, @JamesWynnReal has been sitting on a large unrealized profit. He just scaled out half of his previously $800M+ $BTC position during the last hour. This is partially why you've seen the move down just now, as he's essentially twapping out $15M clips every few minutes currently. Hats off to this degen. You can call it skill or you can call it luck. But to open nearly a billion $ size position publically for everyone to track is insane and not something we've seen before. Interesting times.
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$PAAL Slowly grinding higher making consistent higher highs and higher lows since March. Looking for a break of that $0.18 level to get the part started and accelerate the momentum. AI coins were the best performers next to Memes on this recent bounce and this has been the case for the entire cycle. So naturally, it has my interest and I bought into some PAAL as well.
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