Bitcoin is at a critical juncture, flirting with its all-time high of $109,300. While several positive factors, including its own strong performance and a recovering S&P 500, support a bullish breakout, the broader economic indicators, particularly the declining LEI and consumer sentiment, present a cautionary note. Furthermore, the technical "rising channel" pattern on the short-term chart suggests a potential bearish outcome. The decisive factor in the immediate future will be whether the $106,100 support level can hold, paving the way for an all-time high, or if a breakdown from the rising channel leads to a significant pullback.

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