Bitcoin: Stuck? What are institutions betting on? Should retail investors dive in or run away?
Bitcoin's recent performance is truly heart-pounding—just surged to $107,000, immediately dropped back to $105,000, and the daily chart shows overbought conditions, indicating short-term pullback risks. But institutions aren't worried at all; MicroStrategy bought over 6,000 coins again this March and now holds over 500,000 bitcoins. Bitwise even set a target price of $200,000. Plus, last year, the Bitcoin ETF attracted $33.6 billion, and this year, funds are still pouring in. The long-term bullish logic remains unchanged.
However, risks are evident:
The SEC could stir things up at any moment; if they delay or reject the ETF, the market will definitely crash.
On May 19, $556 million was liquidated, leaving 130,000 people with nothing, indicating that market speculation is too heavy and could be harvested at any time.
My advice:
Don’t go all in! Build your position gradually, and keep total exposure below 10%.
If it drops below $98,000, pull out; don’t hold on stubbornly—preserving capital is the most important.
Ethereum: After a 40% surge, suddenly stalled; can it still be played?
After Ethereum's upgrade on May 7, it skyrocketed 40% in three days but then fizzled out.
The current issue is:
L2 funds haven’t formed a closed loop, and the ecosystem hasn’t truly exploded.
Big players are quietly unloading, and the market is worried about the main players fleeing.
But there are opportunities:
If BlackRock's Ethereum ETF staking is approved, tens of billions could flow in, with a target price potentially hitting $6,500.
Ethereum remains a leader in DeFi and NFTs, with over 20 million staked, providing an annualized return of 4.5%, and the long-term fundamentals are still intact.
Short sellers' concerns:
After transitioning from PoW to PoS, some say it “lost its value support,” and it could even drop to $800-$1,200.
My strategy:
You can test the waters with a small position at $2,200-$2,400, but be cautious if it drops below $2,500.
Don’t chase highs! Wait for a pullback before considering adding to your position.
June 3 is a key date!
The SEC's decision on the Ethereum ETF, as well as the approval of staking ETFs, could trigger a major market movement.
Expect significant market fluctuations around June 3; manage your position and avoid being liquidated!
Remember: The market is never short of opportunities, but if you lose your capital, it’s really gone!
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Intraday: ETH BTC AAVE