🔥BRUTAL CHANGE from the Atlanta Fed! Recession canceled?📈
A few weeks ago, the Atlanta Fed raised alarm bells by predicting a decline in GDP in Q1, which scared many investors.
🧨 Now, everything has changed: it forecasts 2.5% growth for the second quarter (Q2).
Why is this POSITIVE for the markets? ✅
📊 If the economy grows:
Companies maintain profits 💼
Investor confidence increases
Stocks and cryptocurrencies rise 🚀
What caused such an abrupt change in projections? 🤯
🔍 Although Q1 showed a contraction in GDP, it wasn't due to a weak economy, but rather a technical effect:
▪️ At the end of 2024, many companies brought forward purchases and built up inventories for fear of new Trump tariffs.
▪️ This artificially inflated Q4 2024 and left Q1 with less activity, due to a rebound effect.
▪️ In other words: they bought too much in December and almost nothing in Q1 2025.
📈 Now, indicators like the Philly Fed New Orders index showed their largest jump since 1968, indicating that companies are reactivating their orders.
Conclusion? 🧠
👉 It's not a real recession, but a temporary lag.
⚠️ The markets are noticing... and are preparing for a rebound.
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