GDP
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According to BlockBeats, the Atlanta Federal Reserve's GDPNow model has adjusted its forecast for the United States' first-quarter GDP growth to -2.5%, down from the previous estimate of -2.2%. This revision reflects changes in economic indicators and assessments impacting the nation's economic outlook.
#BinanceAlphaAlert #GDP
#BinanceAlphaAlert #GDP
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Let's talk about today's non-farm data:
Yesterday's GDP was a false alarm; the market seems to realize that the U.S. economy still has enough resilience in the first quarter. However, it is still uncertain whether this resilience is due to tariffs. We cannot rule out the expansion of domestic demand brought about by tariffs. The unemployment rate announced in April rose from 4% to 4.2%, and the economic downturn has been personally indicated by Powell and the Federal Reserve.
This is also the reason why people are worried about the first quarter GDP. The key indicator for whether the economy can continue to maintain resilience in the second quarter will be the monthly unemployment rate. If the unemployment rate rises, it is very likely to increase the frequency of rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, which also indicates that the economic trend will worsen.
In tonight's data, market expectations are still good, with the unemployment rate expected to remain at 4.2%, the same as the previous value. However, I feel the unemployment rate might increase, possibly to 4.3% or 4.4%. Of course, my personal feeling may not be accurate. If the unemployment rate does rise, we need to see whether it is due to 'loss of joy' or 'loss of matters'.
ps: Yesterday's PCE data has already indicated that the wage growth for the public is slowing, but spending continues to increase......
#GDP
Yesterday's GDP was a false alarm; the market seems to realize that the U.S. economy still has enough resilience in the first quarter. However, it is still uncertain whether this resilience is due to tariffs. We cannot rule out the expansion of domestic demand brought about by tariffs. The unemployment rate announced in April rose from 4% to 4.2%, and the economic downturn has been personally indicated by Powell and the Federal Reserve.
This is also the reason why people are worried about the first quarter GDP. The key indicator for whether the economy can continue to maintain resilience in the second quarter will be the monthly unemployment rate. If the unemployment rate rises, it is very likely to increase the frequency of rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, which also indicates that the economic trend will worsen.
In tonight's data, market expectations are still good, with the unemployment rate expected to remain at 4.2%, the same as the previous value. However, I feel the unemployment rate might increase, possibly to 4.3% or 4.4%. Of course, my personal feeling may not be accurate. If the unemployment rate does rise, we need to see whether it is due to 'loss of joy' or 'loss of matters'.
ps: Yesterday's PCE data has already indicated that the wage growth for the public is slowing, but spending continues to increase......
#GDP
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🚨 Urgent:
The US GDP decreased by 0.3% in the first quarter
while the forecast was 0.2%, and the previous reading was 2.4%
Note: The crypto market was directly impacted.
#GDP #crypto #InvestSmart
The US GDP decreased by 0.3% in the first quarter
while the forecast was 0.2%, and the previous reading was 2.4%
Note: The crypto market was directly impacted.
#GDP #crypto #InvestSmart
🔴GM🔴
🌊A relaxed Saturday, a red Sunday, and a Monday jump-start—so far, everything aligns perfectly.
💲Minor purchases by Asset Management firms often signal that they’re preparing to accumulate significantly.
🟥🟩Today, I predict a green market, but come tomorrow morning (from 20:00 UTC-0 onwards), we might see some shifts. Based on the data, there’s only Japan’s GDP release and speeches from Fed officials Bowman, Waller, and Harker—none of whom are particularly hawkish. RSI sits at 46.
📊 Market Outlook for Today (Converted to UTC-0):
🔹 00:00 – 07:00 (Green, Calm Market)
-The US is on holiday, and China is injecting liquidity without withdrawals.
-Japan’s GDP growth and subsequent Yen strength are misleading.
-GDP Deflator up +0.4%, QoQ GDP up +1.7%—a complete fantasy! 🤣
-The GDP increase is simply due to rising inflation.
-Mark this prediction: CPI data on 20th February will surely show an increase.
🔹 08:00 – 10:00 (Red, Pullback Expected)
Chinese equities rally.
🔹 11:00 – 16:00 (Stable, No Major Moves)
🔹 17:00 – 00:00 (Green, Market Recovery)
💡 A Word on the Japanese Yen
The Yen’s strength from GDP growth is temporary.
Why?
-GDP Deflator +0.4%
-CPI +0.6%
In short, this signals inflation, which will ultimately weaken the Yen.
This current strength is merely the result of intervention—let’s see if this holds true.
Let’s wait and see… 🎯
Watch this week analysis here for FREE=> MARKET MOVEMENT 17-21 FEBRUARY
$BTC $ETH $BNB #GDP #washington #Macro
source: @hoteliercrypto
🌊A relaxed Saturday, a red Sunday, and a Monday jump-start—so far, everything aligns perfectly.
💲Minor purchases by Asset Management firms often signal that they’re preparing to accumulate significantly.
🟥🟩Today, I predict a green market, but come tomorrow morning (from 20:00 UTC-0 onwards), we might see some shifts. Based on the data, there’s only Japan’s GDP release and speeches from Fed officials Bowman, Waller, and Harker—none of whom are particularly hawkish. RSI sits at 46.
📊 Market Outlook for Today (Converted to UTC-0):
🔹 00:00 – 07:00 (Green, Calm Market)
-The US is on holiday, and China is injecting liquidity without withdrawals.
-Japan’s GDP growth and subsequent Yen strength are misleading.
-GDP Deflator up +0.4%, QoQ GDP up +1.7%—a complete fantasy! 🤣
-The GDP increase is simply due to rising inflation.
-Mark this prediction: CPI data on 20th February will surely show an increase.
🔹 08:00 – 10:00 (Red, Pullback Expected)
Chinese equities rally.
🔹 11:00 – 16:00 (Stable, No Major Moves)
🔹 17:00 – 00:00 (Green, Market Recovery)
💡 A Word on the Japanese Yen
The Yen’s strength from GDP growth is temporary.
Why?
-GDP Deflator +0.4%
-CPI +0.6%
In short, this signals inflation, which will ultimately weaken the Yen.
This current strength is merely the result of intervention—let’s see if this holds true.
Let’s wait and see… 🎯
Watch this week analysis here for FREE=> MARKET MOVEMENT 17-21 FEBRUARY
$BTC $ETH $BNB #GDP #washington #Macro
source: @hoteliercrypto
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👻 US economic data is stable, #加密市场 ushered in new opportunities
The latest US economic data showed that the core #PCE price index in the fourth quarter was 2.5%, the number of initial unemployment claims was 207K, and the #GDP growth rate was 2.3%, all in line with market expectations.
In short, the stability of US economic data has brought new opportunities for $BTC $ETH $BNB and other #加密货币 . Everyone should pay close attention to market trends and seize potential money-making opportunities.
The latest US economic data showed that the core #PCE price index in the fourth quarter was 2.5%, the number of initial unemployment claims was 207K, and the #GDP growth rate was 2.3%, all in line with market expectations.
In short, the stability of US economic data has brought new opportunities for $BTC $ETH $BNB and other #加密货币 . Everyone should pay close attention to market trends and seize potential money-making opportunities.
Biggest Week in Crypto & Markets!
May 25 – May 30, 2025
Get ready for a storm of action:
May 25: Fed Chair Powell speaks – markets will move!
May 27–29: US Bitcoin Conference – All eyes on crypto innovation
May 28: FOMC Meeting Minutes – clues on the next rate move
May 29: US GDP Data drops
May 30: PCE Inflation Report – The Fed’s favorite gauge
This is the perfect setup for major volatility in both crypto and traditional markets.
Stay sharp. Stay informed. Trade smart.
#Bitcoin #CryptoNews #BinancePizza #FOMC #GDP #PCE #Powell #BTC #CryptoConference
May 25 – May 30, 2025
Get ready for a storm of action:
May 25: Fed Chair Powell speaks – markets will move!
May 27–29: US Bitcoin Conference – All eyes on crypto innovation
May 28: FOMC Meeting Minutes – clues on the next rate move
May 29: US GDP Data drops
May 30: PCE Inflation Report – The Fed’s favorite gauge
This is the perfect setup for major volatility in both crypto and traditional markets.
Stay sharp. Stay informed. Trade smart.
#Bitcoin #CryptoNews #BinancePizza #FOMC #GDP #PCE #Powell #BTC #CryptoConference
🚨What is Pakistan🇵🇰 doing 😱😱😱.
After adopting crypto and BlackRock investment in Pakistan🇵🇰. The GDP📊 of Pakistan🇵🇰 going is going to the moon 🌚 now hit $400 Million dollars.
#pakistanicrypto #GDP #blackRock
After adopting crypto and BlackRock investment in Pakistan🇵🇰. The GDP📊 of Pakistan🇵🇰 going is going to the moon 🌚 now hit $400 Million dollars.
#pakistanicrypto #GDP #blackRock
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US stocks rose, and the US second quarter GDP data was better than expected. A shares soared, and the central bank cut the reserve requirement ratio and interest rates.
#美国二季度核心PCE符合预期 #gdp #A股 #美股
#美国二季度核心PCE符合预期 #gdp #A股 #美股
🚨 Big Week for Crypto: Here’s What to Watch 👇🏻
• #fed ’s 0.25% rate cut (Dec. 18) may influence market sentiment.
• US #GDP Growth Rate (Dec. 19) shows the strength of the economy.
• Retail & Home Sales data reveal consumer behavior.
• Core PCE (Dec. 20) tracks inflation’s progress.
Stay informed, these events could shape the next major crypto trend!
• #fed ’s 0.25% rate cut (Dec. 18) may influence market sentiment.
• US #GDP Growth Rate (Dec. 19) shows the strength of the economy.
• Retail & Home Sales data reveal consumer behavior.
• Core PCE (Dec. 20) tracks inflation’s progress.
Stay informed, these events could shape the next major crypto trend!
🚨SOLANA Q1 2025 #GDP SURGES 20% TO $1.2B, WHILE STABLECOIN MARKET CAP SKYROCKETS 145% TO $12.5B, DRIVEN BY MEMECOIN TRADING AND DEFI GROWTH.
$SOL
$SOL
🚨#SOLANA Q1: STRONG FUNDAMENTALS, WEAK PRICE — Q2 FACES INFLECTION POINT
🔹Despite surging on-chain activity, $SOL ended Q1 down 34.7% from $190.
🔹Chain GDP rose 20% QoQ; stablecoins like USDC surged 148% to $9.7B.
🔹DEX volume spiked to $36B on Jan 18, 10% of Nasdaq’s daily turnover.
🔹Q2 opened at $124.56, rallied to $167.72, but faces exit liquidity risk.
🔹Coin Days Destroyed (CDD) peaked May 14, signaling long-term holders selling.
🔹Without fresh capital, $SOL’s rally may reverse to Q1 support near $95.
🔹Despite surging on-chain activity, $SOL ended Q1 down 34.7% from $190.
🔹Chain GDP rose 20% QoQ; stablecoins like USDC surged 148% to $9.7B.
🔹DEX volume spiked to $36B on Jan 18, 10% of Nasdaq’s daily turnover.
🔹Q2 opened at $124.56, rallied to $167.72, but faces exit liquidity risk.
🔹Coin Days Destroyed (CDD) peaked May 14, signaling long-term holders selling.
🔹Without fresh capital, $SOL’s rally may reverse to Q1 support near $95.
Highest #GDP per capita, 2023.
🇱🇺 Luxembourg: $129,810
🇮🇪 Ireland: $104,270
🇨🇭 Switzerland: $100,410
🇳🇴 Norway: $87,740
🇸🇬 Singapore: $84,730
🇺🇸 US: $81,630
🇮🇸 Iceland: $80,000
🇶🇦 Qatar: $78,700
🇩🇰 Denmark: $68,300
🇦🇺 Australia: $65,430
🇳🇱 Netherlands: $62,720
(IMF)
#WhaleMovements @WISE PUMPS
🇱🇺 Luxembourg: $129,810
🇮🇪 Ireland: $104,270
🇨🇭 Switzerland: $100,410
🇳🇴 Norway: $87,740
🇸🇬 Singapore: $84,730
🇺🇸 US: $81,630
🇮🇸 Iceland: $80,000
🇶🇦 Qatar: $78,700
🇩🇰 Denmark: $68,300
🇦🇺 Australia: $65,430
🇳🇱 Netherlands: $62,720
(IMF)
#WhaleMovements @WISE PUMPS
📊 Fed Lowers Growth Forecast, Raises Inflation Outlook—Stagflation Fears Rise!
🔹 Key Fed Projections:
📌 Inflation to rise from 2.5% to 2.7% by year-end, still above the 2% target.
📌 2025 GDP growth forecast cut from 2.1% to 1.7%, a sharp slowdown from ~3% in 2022-23.
🔹 CFRA’s Sam Stovall:
FOMC’s balancing act on sticky inflation & slowing growth is likely tied to uncertainty over Trump’s April 2 tariff policy discussions.
⚠️ Will tariffs add more inflationary pressure?
#FederalReserve #Inflation #GDP #Tariffs
🔹 Key Fed Projections:
📌 Inflation to rise from 2.5% to 2.7% by year-end, still above the 2% target.
📌 2025 GDP growth forecast cut from 2.1% to 1.7%, a sharp slowdown from ~3% in 2022-23.
🔹 CFRA’s Sam Stovall:
FOMC’s balancing act on sticky inflation & slowing growth is likely tied to uncertainty over Trump’s April 2 tariff policy discussions.
⚠️ Will tariffs add more inflationary pressure?
#FederalReserve #Inflation #GDP #Tariffs
Bitcoin Poised for Potential Gains Amid US Economic Slowdown
As the U.S. economy shows signs of entering a recession, Bitcoin is increasingly seen as a potential beneficiary, with expectations that it may serve as a safe-haven asset, similar to gold.
According to CoinTelegraph, U.S. GDP contracted by 0.3% in Q1 2025, marking the first negative growth since Q2 2022, and surprising markets that expected a 0.3% increase. Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) also exceeded expectations, rising 1.8%, while core PCE climbed 3.5%, indicating ongoing inflationary pressure.
This has led to growing concerns about ‘stagflation’—the combination of economic stagnation and inflation. The Federal Reserve now faces a difficult choice between cutting interest rates to avoid further economic contraction and rising unemployment, or maintaining rates to control inflation.
As a result, the market now sees a 63% chance of a 0.25% rate cut by the Fed in June, up from a mere 3% chance for May. The prospect of a potential rate cut and continued market volatility highlights Bitcoin’s emerging role as a store of value.
Meanwhile, prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket are reflecting a high probability of a U.S. recession by 2025, with chances at 74% and 70%, respectively. Despite short-term price fluctuations, a 'buy the dip' strategy is gaining traction as liquidity increases and risk sentiment recovers.
$BTC $ETH $XRP
#bitcoin #GDP #PCE
As the U.S. economy shows signs of entering a recession, Bitcoin is increasingly seen as a potential beneficiary, with expectations that it may serve as a safe-haven asset, similar to gold.
According to CoinTelegraph, U.S. GDP contracted by 0.3% in Q1 2025, marking the first negative growth since Q2 2022, and surprising markets that expected a 0.3% increase. Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) also exceeded expectations, rising 1.8%, while core PCE climbed 3.5%, indicating ongoing inflationary pressure.
This has led to growing concerns about ‘stagflation’—the combination of economic stagnation and inflation. The Federal Reserve now faces a difficult choice between cutting interest rates to avoid further economic contraction and rising unemployment, or maintaining rates to control inflation.
As a result, the market now sees a 63% chance of a 0.25% rate cut by the Fed in June, up from a mere 3% chance for May. The prospect of a potential rate cut and continued market volatility highlights Bitcoin’s emerging role as a store of value.
Meanwhile, prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket are reflecting a high probability of a U.S. recession by 2025, with chances at 74% and 70%, respectively. Despite short-term price fluctuations, a 'buy the dip' strategy is gaining traction as liquidity increases and risk sentiment recovers.
$BTC $ETH $XRP
#bitcoin #GDP #PCE
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Cryptocurrency evening summary
1. The commander of the Ukrainian drone force revealed the existence of a laser weapon, which is capable of shooting down aircraft over 2 kilometers away. This marks a major leap in Ukrainian air defense technology. Of course, Western countries such as the United Kingdom are also developing similar systems.
2. It has been a long time since I last talked about the Qing Dynasty. The Qing Dynasty's goal is to maintain the highest budget deficit in decades to stimulate growth, and the government's goal is to grow 5% year-on-year, but the details of the stimulus measures are still few, and the market is once again questioning the government's determination (Figure 1)
3. China's 10-year bond yield fell to 1.7%, the lowest level on record, and retail sales in November were disappointing. Two internal sources said that more stimulus measures will be funded by issuing off-budget special bonds.
2. It has been a long time since I last talked about the Qing Dynasty. The Qing Dynasty's goal is to maintain the highest budget deficit in decades to stimulate growth, and the government's goal is to grow 5% year-on-year, but the details of the stimulus measures are still few, and the market is once again questioning the government's determination (Figure 1)
3. China's 10-year bond yield fell to 1.7%, the lowest level on record, and retail sales in November were disappointing. Two internal sources said that more stimulus measures will be funded by issuing off-budget special bonds.
🚨
Advance GDP Data Drops in 2 Hours — What to Expect
Today’s print could set the tone for Q2. Forecast: +0.2%
Above Forecast:
• Growth surprise
• Stronger economy
• Bullish for risk assets
Below Forecast:
• Weak growth
• Recession fears
• Bearish for risk assets
But it's not just the number — it's the price reaction that matters.
If markets rally on bad news or dump on good news, the opposite move may already be priced in. Expect short-term volatility, but the real trend usually reveals itself in 1–2 weeks.
Stay cautious and manage risk.
#GDP #Markets #bitcoin #crypto
Advance GDP Data Drops in 2 Hours — What to Expect
Today’s print could set the tone for Q2. Forecast: +0.2%
Above Forecast:
• Growth surprise
• Stronger economy
• Bullish for risk assets
Below Forecast:
• Weak growth
• Recession fears
• Bearish for risk assets
But it's not just the number — it's the price reaction that matters.
If markets rally on bad news or dump on good news, the opposite move may already be priced in. Expect short-term volatility, but the real trend usually reveals itself in 1–2 weeks.
Stay cautious and manage risk.
#GDP #Markets #bitcoin #crypto
🔴 BREAKING: U.S. GDP SHRINKS IN Q1 — TRUMP BLAMES BIDEN, PROMISES “HISTORIC COMEBACK” 🚨📉
The U.S. economy contracted unexpectedly in Q1 2024 (-0.4% annualized), reigniting political tensions. Former President Donald Trump swiftly blamed President Biden’s “failed Bidenomics,” claiming, “We inherited high inflation, weak growth, and anti-business policies.”
Trump’s response:
• Pledges new tariffs “coming soon”
• Says companies are “rushing back to America”
• Promises a “HISTORIC” economic recovery, while warning it “won’t happen overnight”
Meanwhile, analysts point to slower consumer spending and weak exports as drivers of the downturn, even as unemployment stays low. Trump brushed off inflation concerns tied to tariffs, declaring: “The problem isn’t our solutions—it’s Biden’s numbers.”
Biden’s team fired back, accusing Trump of “rewriting history” and defending the strong 2023 recovery. The back-and-forth comes as markets react and the Fed weighs potential rate cuts.
Key Takeaways:
• ⚠️ Q1 GDP surprise fuels political and market uncertainty
• 🏭 Trump pushes tariffs + U.S. investment narrative
• ⚖️ Biden defends record, voters remain divided
• 📉 Experts debate: blip or deeper warning?
#GDP
#TrumpVsBiden
#Election2024
#MarketUpdate
The U.S. economy contracted unexpectedly in Q1 2024 (-0.4% annualized), reigniting political tensions. Former President Donald Trump swiftly blamed President Biden’s “failed Bidenomics,” claiming, “We inherited high inflation, weak growth, and anti-business policies.”
Trump’s response:
• Pledges new tariffs “coming soon”
• Says companies are “rushing back to America”
• Promises a “HISTORIC” economic recovery, while warning it “won’t happen overnight”
Meanwhile, analysts point to slower consumer spending and weak exports as drivers of the downturn, even as unemployment stays low. Trump brushed off inflation concerns tied to tariffs, declaring: “The problem isn’t our solutions—it’s Biden’s numbers.”
Biden’s team fired back, accusing Trump of “rewriting history” and defending the strong 2023 recovery. The back-and-forth comes as markets react and the Fed weighs potential rate cuts.
Key Takeaways:
• ⚠️ Q1 GDP surprise fuels political and market uncertainty
• 🏭 Trump pushes tariffs + U.S. investment narrative
• ⚖️ Biden defends record, voters remain divided
• 📉 Experts debate: blip or deeper warning?
#GDP
#TrumpVsBiden
#Election2024
#MarketUpdate
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