BNB Today's Core Trend Interpretation
Currently, BNB is fluctuating in the range of $630-$700, with $651 as short-term support and $658 as the resistance line. If it can stabilize above $658, technical indicators suggest that an upward channel may open, such as the MACD golden cross signal. In the medium to long term, attention should be paid to the $600 moving average support; a drop below this level may trigger a deep correction. Deflation model: Binance's quarterly destruction mechanism continues to be effective, with circulation reduced to 145 million coins, potentially decreasing by another 1.8 million coins this year, supporting scarcity of coin price. Ecosystem expansion: DEX daily activities exceed 12 million, NFT revenue increases by 200% year-on-year, and traditional funds are accelerating entry into tokenized stocks like Tesla and Apple.
Policies and Market Sentiment
Policy Game: Trump promotes crypto-friendly policies like Crypto Capital, but the SEC lawsuit has not fully lifted restrictions. If regulation shifts, it may trigger a 15%-20% correction. If the BNB ETF is approved, it could become a breakthrough catalyst.
Capital Linkage: Correlation with Bitcoin reaches 0.67; if BTC breaks through $106,000, the probability of BNB rising is over 30%. The Federal Reserve's delay in interest rate cuts suppresses risk assets, but institutional funds flowing in, such as BlackRock, form a hedge.
Short Term: Light positions above $658 for a long aim at $800-$900. If it corrects to $600-$630, buy in batches, with a stop loss at $580.
Long Term: Regular investment + staking with an annualized return of 25%, suggested allocation ratio: 70% mainstream coins + 20% BNB + 10% cash. Pay attention to the Pascal upgrade to enhance on-chain efficiency to 100,000.
Conclusion: BNB is temporarily suppressed by technical factors, but the deflation model and ecosystem expansion constitute fundamental support; policies and Bitcoin trends are key variables. Investors need to grasp key positions in fluctuations and bet long-term on ecosystem realization.
Blindly acting alone will never bring opportunities. Follow me, and I will lead you to explore tenfold potential coins! Top-tier first-level resources
