In June, the US needs to repay 1.3 trillion in treasury bonds.
The Federal Reserve is now in a dilemma, and the global market has to suffer as a result. Brothers in the crypto world, don’t think you can escape; the market never shows mercy to anyone!
What is the most critical issue now? Inflation can't be suppressed, and the CPI refuses to drop. If we cut interest rates, inflation will soar, leading to a collapse of the dollar's credit; if we don’t cut interest rates, the interest on US debt keeps accumulating, the government can't pay back the money, and the market will directly collapse!
The Federal Reserve has long figured out how to play the game: In January 2025, just before the Spring Festival, there will be a sharp drop to harvest the bulls; in May, it will pump BTC and ETH to attract retail investors; in June, there will be a big harvest, using retail investors' money to fill the holes! Remember, the Federal Reserve won't be honest about printing money to pay debts; harvesting retail investors is their old profession, and both the crypto and stock markets are their ATMs.
There are three forces manipulating this behind the scenes: Powell from the Federal Reserve says 'inflation is not resolved' but then hints at cutting interest rates; isn't that just playing with the market? Trump is even more ruthless, shouting about raising tariffs to scare the market while pushing the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates, playing a duet with Powell. The people on Wall Street are the most ruthless; they first inflate the stock and crypto markets, and when retail investors rush in, they dump. Those with high leverage will go to zero directly. In the past month, ETH suddenly surged 50% and then declined, which is a classic double kill of bulls and bears; even more ruthless, the Pyth token will unlock 3.4 billion next week, isn’t this a clear signal for the whales to pump and dump?
To be honest, if the US stock market opens and crashes today, brothers, hurry and run! Any surge before June is a trap. Never chase after highs; the crazier it rises, the worse the fall will be. Those playing with leverage must set stop-loss orders, otherwise, one sharp spike could lead to a total loss. Don’t believe in technical analysis; this market is a casino of policy games, not to mention the nuclear-level event of the Federal Reserve's meeting in June. If you can't see the trend clearly, then read more of the articles from the market expert and check the group messages daily.
Just a final reminder: In January, kill the bulls; in May, kill the bears; in June, kill everyone! The crypto world is not short of opportunities; what it lacks is the capital to survive until the bull market. The Federal Reserve, Trump, and Wall Street are working together to make global investors pay for US Treasury bonds. If you believe in the market, just follow the rhythm; if you don’t believe? Then wait to be harvested by the whales!
#美国加征关税 #山寨季何时到来？ #MichaelSaylor暗示增持BTC
BTC: If Bitcoin can't break through a new high, then the probability of the market retracing is relatively high. The current position is the first retracement after a golden cross on the four-hour chart, and now the four-hour tunnel has risen to around 99,000.
ETH: There is still a large amount of short liquidity accumulated in the range of 2730—2875 above, and it's highly likely that the market will try to squeeze these shorts and seize that liquidity. Although the overall trend remains bullish, in the short term, we need to look at the Nasdaq index, currently at 19,200; personally, I expect it to drop to 16,000; corresponding to Ethereum at 2000 to 2200, the decline won't be too much, but there will be a sharp spike! This means that overall, it will drop about 20% before bottoming out.
As for altcoins, you need to know how to play; in this market, you either hold onto Bitcoin or ambush high-quality altcoins that haven't started yet. If you don't know how to pick, you can ask the market expert.