$BTC Giant Whale 15,000 BTC secretly transferred, will tonight be a surge or a liquidation?
The calm before the storm? The BTC bull-bear game has entered a critical time window!
Remember, bull markets often see sharp declines, and bear markets often see spikes. Keep your stop loss in place and watch the show; you must survive to buy the dip!
Brothers, today's market has everyone on edge! This morning, BTC played a 'heartbeat monitor' around 28,200, with the five-minute K-line more tangled than an old lady knitting. But if you carefully peel back the technicals and combine it with the breaking news at dawn about the 'U.S. SEC postponing the Bitcoin spot ETF decision,' you can’t hide the undercurrents in this market.
1. MACD underwater golden cross: Is the bull sneaking up or is it a trap?
Right now, the MACD indicator has pulled off a 'last-ditch counterattack' — although the DIF and DEA are still lying below the zero axis, the DIF has quietly crossed above the DEA, and the histogram has turned red.
But don't rush! Look at the on-chain data next door; CryptoQuant just revealed that a whale address transferred 15,000 BTC to exchanges within three hours, clearly indicating that a big player is preparing to sell at the rebound high.
2. Trading volume plays 'empty city strategy': Who is the market waiting for to charge in?
Today's volume is even colder than a weekend market! The actual trading volume (2.6 billion) hasn't even touched the ankle of the estimated volume (4.8 billion), indicating that both retail and institutional investors are playing dead.
What's worse is that the funding rate for BTC perpetual contracts on Binance has dropped to -0.018%, and short sellers are actually starting to pay to drive the price down, which is a clear signal of extreme sentiment.
3. Moving average suppression plays stacking the blocks!
Look at this moving average arrangement; MA5 and MA10 have directly built a Five-Finger Mountain in the sky, and the price can't even touch MA5’s hair. More interestingly, the four-hour MA30 and MA60 have already formed a death cross pointing downwards, indicating that the short-term trend is clearly controlled by the bears.
However, there's a detail on-chain that's worth pondering — the Bitcoin miner holding index has soared by 20% in a week, and this group of 'stingy chickens' has actually started to hold back on selling! Historical experience shows that miners hoarding often occurs at stage bottoms, but right now with this moving average suppression and ETF negativity, do you dare to believe this is the bottom?
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