"How high will the price of Bitcoin rise?" No one can give a definite answer to this question, but more and more professional models are comparing Bitcoin with gold - in some paths, $110,000 is not only reasonable, but even "conservative."
Gold Ounce Comparison Model: Why Bitcoin Can Reach $110,000?
The research from the analysis account Apsk32 used a model called the "Power Curve" - it does not simply look at the rise and fall of prices, but uses gold ounces to measure the "network value" of Bitcoin, and then fits the curve based on the trends of the past decade to derive potential future targets.
In his most recent update, he said:
“The relative strength of Bitcoin to gold has increased significantly since April this year. At the current gold price, if the curve continues to hold, it is reasonable to expect BTC to hit $110,000 this year.”
He even added a more extreme version:
“If Bitcoin returns to its ‘support’ level from five years ago and gold holds its current price, we could be looking at $444,000.”
Of course, Apsk32 also mentioned that $220,000 is the “rational optimism” version, and more than $250,000 is an “exceeding-expectation return.”
🪙 Gold rises, Bitcoin follows? This "shadow path" is emerging
Historically, the trend of Bitcoin often lags behind that of gold by several months. This is not only due to psychological expectations, but also the extension of capital flows and risk aversion logic. The current gold price has exceeded $3,500 per ounce, and BTC has also reached the $100,000 mark. More and more researchers are beginning to ask:
“If gold is the safe haven of the past, is Bitcoin the future?”
Glassnode Model: Will 2025 be the peak of the big cycle?
Apsk32 mentioned that the price of Bitcoin is in the acceleration phase of the **"late super cycle"** in the past four years. If this cycle is not broken, the "magnitude jump" of the historical high may become a reality.
And this is not an isolated case.
Bitcoin research organization Glassnode also pointed out as early as the beginning of the year that 2024-2025 may be one of the strongest profit windows in Bitcoin's history. Along with the 350% book profit of old players on the chain, there will also be accelerated distribution, extreme FOMO and drastic fluctuations in market sentiment.
Long-term version: A million dollars is not a dream?
In addition to the short-term judgment of "110,000 is reasonable, 300,000 is the limit", analyst Sam Callahan proposed a long-term vision:
“If gold reaches $5,000 per ounce by 2030 and Bitcoin can take up 50% of its market value, the target price of BTC will be $924,000.”
This conclusion is based on the latest report (In Gold We Trust), which is not a random price prediction, but a "scenario analysis path" based on the anchoring of gold value.
Summary: The battle between Bitcoin and gold has just begun
Gold is still setting new historical highs, and Bitcoin’s “digital gold” narrative is becoming more and more logically closed.
Models like “power curve” and “golden map” are becoming more and more common, not because they are interesting, but because they are becoming effective.
$110,000 may not be a fantasy in 2025, the key is: where are you in this cycle?
If Bitcoin can really hit 110,000, how far will you get it?
Is Bitcoin “swallowing up the gold market value” just a self-satisfaction in the crypto world, or is it a realistic reflection of macro liquidity?
What will be the next event that will allow Bitcoin to overtake gold?
