Ethereum has revealed a deadly oscillation trap! When the 1-hour Bollinger Bands shrink to a blade shape and the price plays dead at $2561, I remind you with eight years of pitfall experience: this is not a sideways consolidation, but a slaughterhouse carefully designed by the main force.
1. Technical analysis hides killing opportunities
1. Bollinger Bands meat grinder
The current Bollinger Band width is only 0.8%, tighter than a shut-down mining machine. Historical data shows that this suffocating market will suddenly break 92% of the time—on May 25, ETH flash crashed 10% under this pattern, resulting in over 100,000 liquidations. Now the price hangs at the middle track of $2546; the main force is ready with tens of billions in liquidation orders, quietly waiting for the 20:30 US CPI data to ignite.
2. MACD inducement trap
The seemingly +7.8 MACD red bar is a bullish signal, but in reality, it is an upgraded version of a pig-killing plate. On May 13, a similar pattern exploded 80 million dollars in long positions in half an hour; this time the value is lower and the duration shorter, likely a false golden cross burying people 2.0—main forces use a small number of buy orders to create false indicators, secretly laying traps in the contract market.
2. Three ominous signs from on-chain data
1. $2500 paper support
On the surface, there are 1.8 million ETH staked for protection, but the on-chain depth chart exposes the truth: 230 million shorts are ambushed below 2450; once breached, it will recreate the disaster of March 12 (in March 2024, ETH plummeted from 3200 to 1600).
2. $2587 coffin board
Certain contract data shows that there are 150 million shorts pressed between the 2580-2600 range. The main force has recently been obsessed with the 'false breakout and explosive shorts' trick: first, a small amount breaks the resistance level, then violently crashes after longs enter. On April 28, SOL was harvested for 200 million in a single day with this trick.
3. Trading Volume Deathly Silence
In the past 5 hours, trading volume plummeted by 47%, hitting a yearly low. Large funds are collectively playing dead, all waiting for the 20:30 CPI verdict—if core CPI exceeds expectations by 0.1%, ETH will trigger a urination collapse mechanism, plunging 5-8% within 15 minutes.
3. Survival Guide
Spot trading emergency kit
- Immediately cut half the position, save bullets for the golden pit at 2400 (historically, there is a 78% probability of retesting the middle track).
- Give up the fantasy of selling at the top; dog traders specifically target greedy fools; preserving capital is more important than making huge profits.
Contract dog counterattack manual
- Long conditions: break through 2587 with volume (1-hour trading exceeds 5 billion), chase longs with a stop-loss of 30 dollars.
- Short conditions: chase shorts if it breaks below 2505, set a breakeven order at 2450 to catch the inertia drop.
4. Deep entrapment self-rescue rules
Remember the three no principles:
- Don't add to the position: adding to a position during a consolidation period = giving ammunition to the main force.
- Don't watch the market: K-line fluctuations create anxiety, set stop-loss and close the app.
- Don't follow orders: the 'teacher' shouting orders will ultimately leave you holding the bag.
There is only one real bottom signal: Bollinger Bands opening upward + trading volume surging by 200%. Before that, staying alive is more important than anything.
Conclusion
The cryptocurrency market is a battlefield of human nature; while you stare at the K-line fantasizing about getting rich, the main force is calculating your liquidation price; when you panic and cut losses, they quietly pick up bloodied chips. The summary of eight years of liquidation lessons: to survive in a deadly oscillation, be colder than a wolf and more alert than a sheep.
Want to double your account, want to indulge in big profits, want to successfully break even.
Keep close to the kill to seize the bull market's main uptrend!