2025.5.15

1. The support area is near 101800. Recently, a large bearish candle broke below 103200, causing the price to enter a consolidation phase.

2. Price action is showing a weak, flat consolidation below 103200, indicating clear resistance above, but the support at 100678 below is still effective.

3. Trading volume continues to shrink, and market sentiment is cautious in the short term, without a clear direction. If trading volume increases and the price breaks below 101800, it may trigger panic selling.

Trading suggestion: Consider buying near 101800, but set a clear stop-loss. Reasons for buying include the significant support at 101800 and the previous low around 100600, as well as potential rebound opportunities after holding the range of 101800–100600 in the short term. Risks are controllable, with the stop-loss set below 100600 (if the previous low of 100678 is effectively broken, the trend may turn bearish, with the next strong support at 97-98).

If the following situations occur, buying is not recommended: Trading volume increases and the price breaks below 101800; a 4-hour candlestick's body directly breaks through 101800; trading volume increases accompanied by a price drop, indicating that bears are actively attacking.

Concise conclusions:

- If the price retests 101800 and trading volume decreases and stops falling, a small position can be attempted for buying, with a stop-loss set at 100600.

- If the price breaks below 101800 and trading volume increases, the main strategy should be to wait and not blindly buy.

- If the price rebounds weakly after a retest and shows a second downward probe, be cautious of a potential trap for long positions and consider shorting instead. #美国加征关税 #代币发射平台竞争加剧