In the past few weeks, the crypto market has rebounded strongly, sparking heated debate in the market - is this a "dead cat bounce" or a prelude to the next bull run?
Although many currencies have seen amazing gains, many key indicators have not yet really started. In order to avoid emotional trading, I have compiled all the core on-chain and off-chain indicators to help you use data to see the true state of the market and grasp the signs before the next all-time high (ATH).
1. Without “all-people FOMO”, there is no real top
The real market peak is not how much it rises, but who is buying:
Your barber, relatives, and taxi drivers all start talking about whether they should buy some coins.
TikTok is full of tutorials on “How I increased my income 100 times with SHIBA 2.0”
When the whole network is worried about missing out, you should be alert to the coming head
✅ Current situation: At present, public attention is still relatively low, and there is still a distance to the FOMO of the whole people.
2. Fear & Greed has not peaked yet
Tops usually last for weeks at extreme greed (90 points and above)
Currently, there is only a short surge, and the overall level is still around 70
70 points is not the top, 90+ is a danger signal
✅ Current situation: The market has not yet entered the extreme greed zone and there is still room in the short term.
3. Altseason indicator is still in neutral zone
At the end of the real bull market, altcoins took off in full swing, and even old coins without development teams soared
Altseason Index usually breaks above 75 and is currently below 50
✅ Current situation: Altcoins have not yet fully exploded and have not yet entered a frenzy period.
4. Mainstream media has not yet “caught up”
You haven’t seen cryptocurrency on CNN headlines yet
Celebrities Didn’t Return to Late Shows to Promote NFTs
2021 bull market peak: Matt Damon said "the brave get rich", now there is no sound
✅ Current situation: The media has not yet intervened and it is still far from the bubble stage.
5. “No increase in prices due to favorable conditions” is a dangerous signal, and there is still a reaction
When the market reaches the real top, it will no longer pay for the good news.
ETF approved? Sideways
Major cooperation? Instead, it fell
✅ Current situation: The market still responds positively to positive news and buying has not yet dried up.
6. Projects with no development and no community are starting to surge?
If you see that the number of dead projects in 2018 suddenly skyrocketed by hundreds of times
That is not an opportunity, it is the dealer's delivery channel
✅ Current situation: Such signs are not yet widespread and the market remains selective.
7. Has a “show off wealth trend” started on Twitter?
If your homepage is flooded with pictures of Lambo, Rolex, and 10x profits
This is often a precursor to retail investors' crazy buying
✅ Current situation: At present, the content is still mostly practical and has not yet entered the "profit porn" stage.
8. Are some people starting to quit their jobs and become full-time cryptocurrency traders?
At the end of the bull market, there will be a large number of people who "just made $7K and quit their job all in"
When people believe this is a "permanent money-making opportunity", the market usually won't go far.
✅ Current situation: Most people are still on the sidelines or making small investments, and there is no large-scale career mobility.
9. The market is flooded with “sky-high predictions”?
Predictions such as $1M BTC, $500 LINK, and $100K SOL are emerging one after another
No one talks about “downside risk” anymore, but the biggest risk itself
✅ Current situation: Market forecasts remain conservative and the mainstream remains divided.
10. Leverage and perpetuals have not seen crazy accumulation
At the real top, the financing rate is extremely positive and OI soars
Everyone is chasing the rise and opening long positions, no one is thinking about taking profits
✅ Current situation: Leverage data is not yet extreme and remains in a healthy rising structure.
11. “The top is not obvious, but there are always signs”
The real top always looks like a breakthrough, but then it starts to go sideways, oscillate and build a falling structure.
You will start to see price stagnation, lower highs, and indifference to positive news.
✅ Current situation: The current market is still in the "confidence rising period" and no typical top pattern has been seen.
Conclusion: Winning lies in prediction, not in buying at high points
The market will not tell you "this is the top", but it will give you enough signs. History will not simply repeat itself, but it will rhyme.
✅ If you see FOMO among the whole people, media hype, skyrocketing prices of scrapped coins, and ineffective benefits... then it's time to withdraw
✅ At this moment, if you have made a profit, it is a smart choice to start taking profits in batches and allocating stablecoins
✅ Don’t think about selling at the highest point. Those who can keep their profits are the ultimate winners.
I ignored the signals at the peak of the bull market in 2021 and lost 70% of my net worth. This time, I will prepare ahead of time, and I suggest you do the same.
