Market Outlook and Operations for Bitcoin (2025.5.14)

Market Risks and Key Indicators

Short-term Pullback Risk:

◦ MACD shows a top divergence, RSI is approaching the overbought zone (68), and the contraction of the Bollinger Bands indicates a decrease in volatility.

◦ If the price falls below $102,000, it may trigger approximately $3.4 billion in long leverage liquidations.

Bullish Momentum Support:

◦ Daily chart shows a bullish arrangement of moving averages, and the MACD histogram continues to expand.

◦ Inflows into the US Bitcoin ETF exceed $41 billion, and institutional holdings provide long-term support.

Main Strategy:

Primarily focus on buying on pullbacks, with special attention to the support area of $102,000.

Short-term Short Strategy

• Entry: 106000-106500

• Targets: First target 105000, second target 103000

• Stop-loss: Above 107000

Short-term Long Strategy

• Entry: 102000-102500

• Targets: First target 104500, second target 106000

• Stop-loss: Below 101500

Risk Warnings and Precautions

· Position Management: Recent volatility has increased; it is recommended that any single trade does not exceed 5% of total capital and to reserve 30% cash for extreme market conditions.

· Stop-loss Discipline: Strictly set stop-losses to avoid holding losing positions.

· Take-profit Strategy: Take profits in batches at resistance/support levels, reducing positions by 50%, with the remaining to bet on a breakout.

Risk Warning: This article is for market analysis only and does not constitute investment advice. Cryptocurrency is highly volatile; please make rational decisions. $BTC