Market Analysis and Operations (2025.5.21)

Market Sentiment and Capital Flow

◦ Institutional funds continue to flow into physical ETFs (net inflow of $667 million in a single day), supporting a long-term bullish logic.

◦ Expectations for Federal Reserve interest rate cuts are rising (probability increased to 45%), which may further benefit risk assets.

• Bullish Signal: Increase positions after stabilizing above $107,500, target $110,000.

• Bearish Signal: If it drops below $105,500, reduce positions or stand aside and observe.

Short-term Short Position Strategy

• Entry: 108500-108800

• Targets: First target 106500 Second target 105500

• Stop Loss: Above 109000

Short-term Long Position Strategy

• Entry: 105300-15800

• Targets: First target 106800 Second target 108500

• Stop Loss: Below 105000

Risk Warning and Precautions

· Position Management: Recent volatility has increased, it is recommended that no single trade exceeds 5% of total capital, reserving 30% cash to handle extreme market conditions.

· Stop Loss Discipline: Strictly set stop losses to avoid holding losses.

· Take Profit Strategy: Gradually take profits at resistance/support levels, reducing positions by 50%, with the remainder aiming for a breakout.

Risk Warning: This article is for market analysis only and does not constitute investment advice. Cryptocurrency is highly volatile, please make rational decisions. $BTC #特朗普晚宴 #btc