Weekend Thoughts and Operations for Large Pancake (2025.5.17-18)

Capital Flow: Institutions like BlackRock continue to increase their holdings in BTC, but the market dominance has dropped to 62%, with some capital flowing into altcoins suppressing short-term upward momentum.

Key Events: Beware of potential fluctuations caused by the May 22nd Federal Reserve monetary policy meeting minutes.

Technical Signal Verification: Focus on the dynamics of the following indicators:

◦ Whether the four-hour MACD maintains a golden cross

◦ Whether the trading volume breaks through the $71.5 billion daily trading volume threshold

◦ Whether the price can stabilize at $105,000 to form new support

Event Driven: The execution of the China-US trade agreement and the progress of ETH ETF approval may trigger correlated market movements.

Short Position Strategy

• Entry: 104500-105000

• Targets: First target 103000 Second target 101000

• Stop Loss: Above 106000

Short-term Long Position Strategy

• Entry: 101500-102000

• Targets: First target 103500 Second target 105500

• Stop Loss: Below 101000

Risk Warning and Precautions

· Position Management: Recently increased volatility, it is recommended that each trade position does not exceed 5% of total funds, reserving 30% cash to respond to extreme market conditions.

· Stop Loss Discipline: Strictly set stop losses to avoid holding positions.

· Take Profit Strategy: Gradually take profit at resistance/support levels, reducing positions by 50%, with the remainder betting on a breakout.

Risk Warning: This article is only for market analysis and does not constitute investment advice. Cryptocurrency is highly volatile; please make rational decisions. #btc $BTC