#ETH走势分析 24 hours plummeted by 2.1%, with 2.1 billion capital in fierce competition, how many people have been liquidated and suffered losses? ETH $2500 critical situation, how can retail investors seek victory steadily!
In the afternoon, I verified the feasibility of swing trading! The returns were quite good, but the position was a bit heavy! Please do not mimic lightly!
1. Current market and technical indicators show that the 24-hour fluctuation range is 2406-2576, with a drop of 2.10%, and the trading volume reached 2.159 billion, indicating a highly active market with significant fluctuations.
Moving average signals: short-term MA(7)=2476, MA(25)=2463, the current price is above the short-term moving average, and if it falls below MA(7), it may trigger further adjustments. Long-term MA(99)=2006 indicates that the medium to long-term trend is still bullish.
Key support/resistance: around 2500 is a short-term psychological level; if it holds, it can test 2576; if it fails, it may drop to 2400 support.
2. Impact of US-China tariff statements
Macroeconomic risk: If tariff escalation triggers risk aversion, it may lead to capital flowing out of risk assets, putting pressure on ETH; conversely, if policies ease or the market digests negative news, ETH may stabilize and rebound.
Dollar correlation: Tariff policies will affect the dollar's trend; if the dollar strengthens, assets priced in dollars like ETH may face short-term pressure.
3. Conservative operation suggestions
Position management: if holding positions, it is recommended to set dynamic take-profit/stop-loss near 2500, such as stopping loss if it falls below MA(7)=2476, target 2576.
If out of the market, consider building positions in batches (e.g., in the 2450-2500 range) to avoid one-time bets.
When using leverage tools, strictly control positions (leverage ratio ≤ 5 times) to avoid liquidation.
Long-term perspective
If optimistic about ETH in the medium to long term (e.g., Layer 2 ecosystem development, ETF expectations), one can dollar-cost average during dips, ignoring short-term fluctuations.
Pay attention to miner costs, as US-China policies may affect energy prices, and the movements of on-chain whale addresses.
4. Key observation points
Technical signals: breaking above 2576 or falling below 2400 will determine the short-term direction.
Policy dynamics: details on US-China tariffs and cryptocurrency regulatory trends, such as SEC's classification of ETH. Pay attention to inflow/outflow data from exchanges.
In summary, near 2500, it is recommended to focus on defense, flexibly operate in conjunction with key technical levels, while maintaining sufficient positions to cope with macroeconomic risks.
Short-term trading should closely monitor fluctuations, while long-term investment can be positioned opportunely like me. A gentleman does not stand under a dangerous wall; this is the only survival rule for retail investors. Those who want to recover losses should pay attention to the latest strategies.
"Cryptocurrency Soul Lock"
