Core Data Overview (Analyst Highlights)
Volume Anomaly
Current trading volume 152 million, far exceeding the 9-day average (79.15 million)! However, total turnover shrank by 0.42%, showing a "volume stagnation" warning signal!
Bull-Bear Divide
74,437 point shows 100% accumulation of chips, becomes the key battleground for bulls and bears, 74.6% of buy orders concentrated in the 8.7% price range, indicating clear control by the main force.
Indicator Warning
委比-0.01% indicates selling slightly dominating; weekly volume shrinks, daily volume surges, severe divergence in short, medium, and long-term funds.
Key Position Analysis
Support and Resistance Levels: Short-term 79.15 million (MA9) 74,437 (100% accumulation zone) Mid-term 1.371 billion (turnover defense line) 169,400 (historical peak).
Three Major Potential Scenarios
Bull Market Scenario (30% probability), a breakout above 74,437 and holding, targeting 80,000, triggering FOMO sentiment; Range-bound Scenario (50% probability), continue to consolidate in the 70,000-74,000 range.
Volume maintained at 100-150 million level; Bear Market Scenario (20% probability), if it breaks below 70,000 and volume falls below 79.15 million MA, it may quickly test the strong support at 65,000.
Trading Suggestions (Professional Trader Strategy)
Short-term Trader: Light position at 72,000, stop loss at 70,000, target 74,000.
Swing Trader: Break above 74,440 to chase up, add position if it retests without breaking.
Miner/HODLer: Start buying in batches below 68,000.
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