Just hang in there a little longer, I want to play until the end of the month!

The most uncertain black swan of this round of market has basically landed.

So far, all the bullish and bearish factors visible in the market have basically played out.

However, the inertia of the upward movement is still there, the momentum is still there,

especially for those who are 'reluctant after missing out,' their emotions have not been fully released.

I will make a prediction about the upcoming rhythm and share my own operations, for reference only, and I will definitely be wrong too.

First, I will liquidate all positions by the end of May.

Looking back at this bull market, there were three obvious 'golden windows' in January, March, and December last year,

with the market explosion period all within 3 weeks.

Now a week has already passed, if it really wants to surge again, there will be just a two-week window,

so I will not wait for the rhythm to drag on. Regardless of how much profit I make by the end of May, I will liquidate all positions and will not cling to the battle.

Second, if there is no interest rate cut in June, the market will enter an 'information vacuum period'.

If China and the U.S. maintain stability and the economic data does not show any surprises, the possibility of an interest rate cut in June is low.

Although Powell mentioned the expectation of two more interest rate cuts this year, that means the real point of injecting liquidity may be at the end of the year.

Therefore, after this wave of increases, the market is highly likely to enter a state of sideways + gradual decline until another wave comes at the end of the year.

After I liquidate, I will keep some bullets to decide whether to re-enter when the real bullish news arrives at the end of the year.

Of course, this whole script is completely based on 'existing information'.

If unexpected events occur, such as:

China and the U.S. falling out, escalation of war, sudden unexpected interest rate cuts...

then this whole scenario will be invalidated.

But in any case, at this position, it is already sufficient for me.

Being able to capture this wave is quite good, no greed.

The rest depends on who can wait and who can survive.