As a trader, summarize the hidden risks

The significant reduction of the increased tariffs "for 90 days" hides intricacies in its implementation details.

1) The 90-day buffer period is essentially a "negotiation countdown"; both parties have yet to reach a consensus on core conflicts such as technology controls.

2) The tariff adjustments are evidently non-symmetrical, with the U.S. retaining the initiative to impose a 24% tariff at any time. This agreement can be termed a "90-day ceasefire agreement."

3) U.S. Treasury Secretary Becerra stated at a press conference that currency issues were not discussed in negotiations with China—any statement regarding exchange rates is crucial.

From historical experience, such phased agreements often struggle to last. In 2017, the U.S. and China reached a "100-day plan," but subsequent negotiations broke down, leading directly to an escalation of the tariff war. This negotiation can only be said to have postponed the disputes, resolving the easier parts first, which is a good omen, but cannot be considered entirely good news.

Additionally, seven years ago, on May 19, 2018, the U.S. and China issued a joint statement in Washington regarding bilateral economic and trade consultations; however, just 10 days later, on May 29, the U.S. unilaterally tore up the agreement and announced tariffs on Chinese goods in two batches.

The "performative" personality of Trump is unlikely to rest easy; perhaps this rebound is merely to allow family members or Wall Street associates to buy puts to lower costs.

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