Last night, Ethereum's price pierced the first support level and rebounded strongly, entering a critical window period for the short-term trend. Today, focus on 2501 as the core watershed, as its gain or loss will directly determine the market direction:

- Bullish Dominance Scenario: If the 2-4 hour candlestick closes effectively above 2501, it marks the end of the hourly pullback, and bullish momentum is expected to restart. Subsequent upward resistance levels are 2555 (previous fluctuation range upper limit), 2605 (integer level pressure), and 2660 (near historical high), with a breakthrough requiring attention to volume support.

- Bearish Dominance Scenario: If the 2-4 hour closing fails to hold above 2501, the bears will regain control and trigger a 2-4 hour corrective trend. The lower support levels are 2461 (short-term moving average support), 2420 (important box lower limit), and 2381 (strong historical support level); breaking below may trigger panic selling.

Operational Suggestions:

- Long Buying Strategy: After confirming the 2-4 hour closing remains stable above 2501, one can lightly position long orders with a stop loss set below 2490; reduce positions by 15% to lock in profits for each breakthrough resistance level.

- Short Selling Strategy: If the price is under pressure and falls below 2501, one can enter a short position when the rebound confirms the resistance level, with a stop loss set at 2512, targeting the lower support levels sequentially.

Risk Control:

1. A single trade position should not exceed 25%, and total holdings should be controlled within 50%;

2. Strictly execute the stop-loss plan and prohibit arbitrary adjustments to stop-loss levels;

3. Closely monitor the correlation of BTC trends and sudden market news, and adjust strategies in a timely manner.

Summary: The short-term trend of Ethereum highly depends on the outcome of the battle for the 2501 level. A stable position above this level will continue the upward trend; conversely, it will trigger a pullback. Everyone should closely monitor the key candlestick closing patterns, strictly adhere to position discipline, and flexibly respond to market dynamics to avoid potential risks. $ETH #ETH走势分析