#BTC重返10万 #本周高光时刻 #BTC交易 #美联储FOMC会议 #交易故事 $BTC $ETH $SOL 【Market Observation】Bitcoin May Market Outlook: Warning of a Ten Thousand Point Level Correction and Reiteration of Trading Discipline
Despite Bitcoin's recent strong breakthrough past the $104,000 mark, I still maintain the core judgment that a deep adjustment will occur in May. Since the initial warning was issued at the end of April, the market's volatility characteristics and on-chain data have continuously reinforced this judgment logic— even if the price reaches a new high touching the $105,000 resistance area, the overbought signals on the technical side and the vulnerabilities formed by leverage accumulation in the derivatives market have not fundamentally changed.
Currently, three key cognitive dimensions need to be clarified:
1. Time Window: There are still 20 trading days left until the end of May, and there is an essential difference between technical pullbacks and trend reversals.
2. Volatility Pattern: Short-term price surges do not change mid-term adjustment expectations, and weekly TD sequence topping signals remain effective.
3. Risk Control: Any prediction must be accompanied by strict position management and stop-loss strategies; one-sided betting should be avoided.
