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Community group chat a8a9 Big DogThis article deconstructs the changes in Chinese academia and regulatory perceptions of Bitcoin over a decade, revealing the dynamic game between financial innovation and institutional regulation.
I. Value Denial Phase (2011-2017)
■ 2011 (≈60 RMB)
• The central bank and five ministries issued (Notice on Preventing Bitcoin Risks)
• Peking University Financial Research Center report: "Virtual symbols based on hash algorithms do not possess currency attributes"
• Economist Lang Xianping: "Bitcoin is programmers' self-entertainment"
■ 2013 (≈600 RMB)
• Research report from Tsinghua University's Wudaokou School of Finance: "Three-tier circulation structure with Ponzi characteristics"
• Chinese Academy of Social Sciences (Financial Regulatory Blue Book): "Daily volatility exceeds 7%, not consistent with value storage function"
■ 2017 (≈6,000 RMB)
• Risk warning from the Internet Finance Association of China: "Disguised ICOs suspected of pyramid scheme crimes"
• CSRC cleaned up and rectified exchange documents: "94.7% of trading volume has false components"
II. Regulatory Strengthening Phase (2021-2022)
■ 2021 (≈400,000 RMB)
• The State Council Financial Committee's fifty-first meeting: "Crackdown on Bitcoin mining and trading activities"
• Eight provinces, including Inner Mongolia, shut down mining sites (annual electricity consumption of 21.5 billion kWh)
• Global hash power share plummeted from 65% to 0%
III. Value Reconstruction Phase (2024 to Present)
■ 2024 (≈760,000 RMB)
• IMF (Global Financial Stability Report): "Bitcoin shows anti-inflation asset properties"
• Federal Reserve's balance sheet shows holding 42,000 BTC (audit documents disclosed)
• Hong Kong Stock Exchange officially launched Bitcoin spot ETF (average daily trading volume exceeded 5.8 billion HKD)
[Analysis of the Roots of Cognitive Conflict]
1. Technical Understanding Gap: Academia has not kept up with the technological iterations of UTXO model and Taproot upgrade
2. Regulator Paradigm Lag: Using (People's Bank Law) framework to respond to DeFi innovation (TVL exceeds $100 billion)
3. Value Assessment Misalignment: Measuring BTC value with M2 growth rate, ignoring its absolute scarcity of 21 million coins
[Data Perspective]
• Evolution of volatility: Annualized volatility decreased from 147% in 2013 to 63% in 2024
• Institutional Holdings: Total holdings of listed companies reached 985,000 BTC (accounting for 4.7% of total circulation)
• Compliance process: 37 jurisdictions worldwide established regulatory sandboxes for crypto assets