This market is truly magical. Bitcoin rises and people criticize, it falls and people criticize, even the big players are confused—how can you retail investors calm down?
The world is in chaos, where is the money going?
In the past two days, missiles and warplanes have been flying in India and Pakistan. Pakistan, relying on its big brother’s support, is crushing India with Beidou navigation + Chinese weapon systems, showcasing impressive air combat results, with the J-10CE taking on two at once, and the S-400 air defense system getting shattered.
This isn’t just India and Pakistan fighting; it’s clearly a test of new equipment by the big brother. If the effects are potent enough, the Taiwan issue might soon be on the agenda.
In chaotic times, gold skyrockets, but Bitcoin is also going crazy. Wall Street institutions are hoarding coins, with BlackRock and Fidelity increasing their holdings by over 100,000 coins in a week, and even the New Hampshire government has legislated to buy Bitcoin as reserves.
What is the market waiting for in the US-China tariff negotiations?
In Switzerland, the US and China are negotiating tariffs, both sides can't hold on anymore and are looking for a way out, but don’t expect any earth-shattering good news; at most, it will be a “temporary ceasefire,” and the bickering will continue.
These days, trading should be done cautiously; who knows if a black swan will suddenly appear at the negotiation table? Lying flat and observing is also a strategy.
Bitcoin technical analysis: The rise is genuine, but don’t chase blindly.
Daily level: The trend has already reversed, MACD golden cross indicates the direction is still upward, but yesterday's doji showed that funds are fleeing to avoid risks.
Hourly level: The Bollinger Bands are narrowing, and a direction is about to be chosen. If it falls below 102,000, short positions can be taken, but don’t get too carried away.
Three-day line: After previously surging to 105,000, it has repeatedly pulled back to 92,000, indicating the market will adjust. Now is not the time to chase highs; wait for a pullback to get in more safely.
Summary:
The more chaotic the world, the more Bitcoin is likely to be treated as a safe-haven asset, but short-term fluctuations are large, so don’t operate blindly.
Negotiations, wars, and policies are all uncertain factors. If you don't understand, lying flat and doing nothing can also be a way to earn.
The overall trend is bullish, but don’t FOMO during a surge; patiently wait for a pullback—there will be plenty of opportunities.
Are you stuck? When to buy the dip? As always, if you feel lost and helpless, feel free to comment. I need fans; you need references.
Pay attention to intraday: ETH PNUT PEPE S
