#ETH走势分析 Regarding where the top of Ethereum will be, there is no exact answer. The prediction in the early morning was that it would reach 2500 during the day, but it only reached a recent high of 2490.77! Today is Friday, and it is expected that the weekly high will be around 2500. The following key points hope to be helpful to you!
1. Relationship between price and moving averages
Current price is $2,332.73, significantly higher than all key moving averages (MA7: 2232.81—ma25: 1941.36—MA99: 1840.93), indicating a bullish trend in the short to medium term.
However, the price is close to the 24-hour high of 2490.77 and is only about 100 dollars away from MA7. If it fails to break through the previous high, it may face short-term resistance and a pullback pressure.
2. Volume changes
The 24-hour trading volume is 2.1672 million ETH, slightly down from the previous period of 2.1756 million ETH, with a trading value of 4.821 billion USD, which has also decreased slightly.
Current increase is +18.58%, and the trading volume has not significantly expanded, beware of the risk of price increases without volume. If the subsequent price reaches new highs while the trading volume continues to shrink, it may lack sustained upward momentum.
3. Potential technical signals
The relationship between MA7 and price indicates that the price is close to MA7. If MA7 cannot quickly rise to support the price, it may trigger short-term profit-taking pressure.
Key resistance levels
Pay attention to the previous high of 2490.77, a breakout needs volume confirmation; if multiple attempts fail, it may form a short-term top.
Impact of news
Assuming the latest news includes progress on Ethereum ETFs or favorable news for Layer2 ecosystems, it may support the price.
Positive policies released by Trump have boosted market sentiment; keep an eye on subsequent regulatory developments and the actual effects of the Pectra upgrade.
ETF has seen a net outflow of $16.11 million for three consecutive days, reflecting a cautious attitude from some institutions regarding short-term price increases.
4. Operational advice
Short-term strategy: If the price stabilizes above 2232, you can hold long positions; if it breaks below MA7 or fails to break the previous high, partial profit-taking is recommended.
Bullish strategy
If the price stabilizes above 2200, you can hold or accumulate on dips; a breakout above 2300 needs volume confirmation.
Bearish strategy
If the price falls below 2200, you can try shorting with a light position, targeting 1940.
Risk control
Set stop-loss below key support like 2180 and monitor RSI (currently overbought) and on-chain activity data.
Currently in a bullish dominant phase, beware of the risks of short-term technical resistance and insufficient momentum. Support levels are concentrated in the 2200–2300 range, and resistance levels to watch are 2400-2500. It is recommended to adjust positions in conjunction with changes in trading volume and news.
