Just now, Trump released news
that at 10 AM Eastern Time tomorrow (10 PM Beijing Time tonight), a trade agreement with a major country will be announced. Stimulated by this news, the Nasdaq Index directly broke through the 20,000-point barrier. Now the market is most concerned about Bitcoin—whether this wave of行情 is really going to break the $100,000 barrier, or if it's a trap set by the manipulators?
I personally believe that such sudden news often comes with sharp fluctuations. Once Trump's trade agreement is finalized, it may trigger an increase in market risk appetite, and funds may continue to flow into high-risk assets, including Bitcoin. But we must also be wary of the risk of a sell-off after good news is fully priced in, especially since Bitcoin has already seen significant gains recently.
In the short term, if the Nasdaq continues to be strong, Bitcoin may follow suit and even test the $100,000 mark. However, if the market reacts lukewarmly after the announcement, or if the details of the agreement are disappointing, it is very likely that the bulls will take profits and trigger a sell-off.
In summary, the key is to watch the market's real reaction after the news is announced tonight—whether it is 'buy the expectation and sell the fact', or if it starts a new round of increases. I tend to remain cautious, not to chase highs, and wait for the direction to become clear before taking action.
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