1. Key point analysis
1. Lower support level
- Core support: 148.2 is the dividing line for bulls and bears; if it stabilizes upon pullback (e.g., forming a long lower shadow candle), bulls are likely to continue upward; if it breaks with volume (closing price of 2 consecutive candles < 148.2), a minor level pullback begins, with lower supports at 145.4 (short-term support), 143 (swing support), 140.2 (medium to long-term trend support).
2. Upper resistance level
- Primary resistance: 151.9 (recent previous high), a breakthrough requires volume support (trading volume +20%), after a successful breakthrough, resistance moves up to 154.7, 157.2, 159.4; if it encounters resistance and falls back, it may trigger a minor level pullback.
2. Long and short scenario strategies
1. Support is effective, bullish continuation
- Signal: Price rebounds near 148.2, breaks 149 with increased volume.
- Operations:
- Aggressive traders: Light long positions at 148.2-149, stop loss at 147.2, target at 151.9, look for 154.7 after a breakthrough;
- Conservative traders: Follow up after breaking 151.9 and stabilizing at 151-151.5, target 159.4, take profit in batches.
2. Support breakdown, bears dominate
- Signal: Break below 148.2 and rebound does not exceed this level, increased volume.
- Operations:
- Long position stop loss: Exit at 147.2-147.7;
- Bearish opportunity: Light short positions at 148.2-148.7, stop loss at 149.7, target 145.4, look for 143-140.2 after a breakdown.
3. Risk warning
1. Position management: Single position ≤10%, avoid full positions, guard against extreme volatility.
2. Take profit and stop loss: Strictly set according to price levels (e.g., 3% below support, 2% above resistance), reduce positions in batches upon reaching targets.
3. Market linkage: Pay attention to the US trading session (20:00-22:00) and BTC trends, if there’s a breakout, be wary of increased volatility.
Summary
Today, SOL is centered around 148.2, showing a pattern of 'staying up means going up, breaking down means going down':$SOL #SOL走势 
