BTC Multi-Dimensional Market Analysis and Trading Strategy

From a technical perspective, the BTC 3-day line remains in an upward trend, but the weekly line and key moving averages (MA30, MA60, MA120) show significant divergence, and the end pattern has yet to complete cycle confirmation, raising doubts about the sustainability of the trend.

On the data front, positive signals are emerging: the scale of stablecoins continues to rise, the outflow of BTC from exchanges is accelerating, and BlackRock's ETF maintains a net buying stance.

At the same time, New Hampshire has released a clear signal to include BTC in its strategic reserves, further boosting market expectations.

Current market contradictions are prominent: the fundamentals convey bearish signals, while data and news create dual bullish support.

Based on a trading logic centered around fundamentals, it is recommended to moderately reduce positions to balance risk; when fundamentals resonate with data and news, consider increasing allocations.

Looking back at the decision to increase positions in the BTC 60,000 range, it was based on a judgment dominated by fundamentals, combined with the potential positive expectations of the elections to position early; however, news-driven trading carries uncertainty, thus greater emphasis should be placed on the certainty verification of core logic.