The vast majority of retail investors believe that market trends follow macroeconomic theory, for example, negotiations between countries leading to reduced tariffs are seen as positive for the market, and an increase in non-farm employment rate indicates economic improvement. The market is bullish. Everyone rushes in to buy at high prices. Those stuck in spot positions and those facing liquidation in contracts. This is how the news misleads everyone into making wrong judgments. Sometimes it feels correct, and other times it indeed misdirects people. Do you have this feeling?
Having been in the industry for 10 years, I consider myself a seasoned player, having experienced too much from A-shares to funds to foreign exchange and then to BQ. Personally, I believe BQ is the highest risk investment area, but also a place with huge profits.
In BQ, relying solely on macroeconomic theories will lead to defeat by reality, while I personally think understanding the indicators of the BTC market is more important, with macroeconomic theories (news) serving as supplementary references.
Players who have followed me for a while have noticed that my analysis of the market trend is particularly accurate, often posting at crucial moments to save everyone. My analysis is primarily based on indicator analysis. Many people will say that indicators are fake and capital can change at will, but you are mistaken; indicators are built on the inflow and outflow of capital by retail investors and capital, reflecting the profits and losses of long and short positions over various time periods. They represent reality and accuracy. However, they are just some lines; those who do not study them are ultimately left with a useless tool.
If you want to survive in this market, having strong personal skills is the most important condition. If you do not have them, you will be like a headless fly, constantly paying attention to crypto influencers, watching their statements at all times. Do you know how many influencers in this market are pushed up by certain forces? Their existence misleads retail investors during specific periods to ultimately achieve the goal of harvesting.
Moreover, those with low technical content and who have not experienced several bull markets can come out and post, packaging themselves as analysis experts. They primarily post frequently and use group washing to lure you one by one into the abyss.
To survive in BQ, the only way is to strengthen your own skills; otherwise, returning to zero is inevitable, and luck merely affects the speed of returning to zero.
My understanding of indicators and contract strategies like 'Short Probe Method' in BTC market analysis is the main reason I can survive. Without these, I would be like you, a headless fly.
