$BTC 《Why I am still bearish on BTC》
First point: From the K-line pattern, BTC is already "drawing the door", and the door is drawn, indicating that it will fall.
Second point: Indicator analysis, many people cannot understand indicators, especially some large time periods, such as hourly and 4-hour indicators, which indicate an upward trend, but the market fluctuates instead of rising
Third point: K-line historical trajectory
Fourth point: After the interest rate is announced, the market is equivalent to rising from 61,300 to 64,100. 2,800 points will not explode the air force. With the means of capital operation, it is basically a burst of more than 6,000 points before the oscillation and rest stage will appear.
Fifth point: Various information inducing long positions in the market increases dramatically every day, and the volume of retail long positions is huge, and the short positions are reduced. Basically, a large part of the short positions are trapped and have not died
Sixth point: The US stock market has not weakened with the US dollar interest rate cut, which shows that the US economy is very strong. Everyone knows that if the US economy is very strong, why would it suddenly drop 50 basis points to stabilize economic development. To put it bluntly, they will never admit that the economy is weak. No matter how the Fed covers up the facts, the future trend of the US stock market will definitely be weak. Of course, the interest rate cut will drive some people to take over the US stock market. The US stock price is so high that it will definitely be harvested.
Point 7: In the election year, the Biden administration does not want to make too many policy changes to improve the economy. First, there is not enough time. Second, if the progress is not smooth, it will be unfavorable to Harris' votes. Third, the first interest rate cut in the US-China financial and economic war is itself a helpless choice. Fourth, the mess he is in now, Russia, Ukraine, and Israel, have not been solved. Biden does not want to have a bad historical status.
Point 8: Bitcoin itself is a virtual currency. If you pay attention to the US stock market, you will find that it sometimes follows the trend of the US index and sometimes follows the US stock market. It is unpredictable and even has self-directed and self-acted pins.
Point 9: Things will turn to the opposite extreme. As long as any news and data are only one-sided, then the danger will begin.
Point 10: In my personal opinion, I have always been bearish. I am a senior civilian player who mainly analyzes indicators and supplements macroeconomic theory. I have been in the cryptocurrency industry for nearly 9 years, which is not comparable to those old people who have been in the cryptocurrency industry for more than ten years, but I have survived and naturally have my own unique features.
$BTC #BTC走势预测 #分析行情