Market Weekly Outlook: Tariff Clouds Loom, Is This the Final Carnival Before the Fed's Decision?
In the new week, global markets continue to be troubled by tariff issues. The US and even the global real economy have already been affected, but negotiation progress is slow, and the situation may further deteriorate in the coming two months. On Wednesday, the Federal Reserve will announce its interest rate decision, and the market is holding its breath — hopes for a rate cut are slim, but any slight movement could trigger severe volatility.
Bitcoin has turned downward after hovering around 96,000 for the past week, while US stocks have risen for seven consecutive days, entering overbought territory. Various signs indicate that the market may soon face a correction.
Is this peak of the rebound perhaps the last chance to exit?
My Strategy: Move with Caution and Adapt Flexibly
Long-term Position: Reduced by 70%, retaining 30% to avoid missing out. If the market crashes, there’s enough firepower; if it continues to rise, there’s still some position to follow.
Short-term Swing: Recently playing small swings of 3-5 days, capturing market fluctuations without being greedy or overly attached.
Intraday Trading: Completely go with the flow, indifferent to rises and falls, not fixating on short-term volatility.
Bitcoin Short-term Trend: Rebound is a test, 96,000 is the key watershed
Bitcoin may have a brief rebound in the next couple of days, but if it approaches 96,000, this will become the new battleground for bulls and bears. If it fails to break through, it may turn downward again.
I opened a short position when Bitcoin broke below 95,800, planning to take partial profits around 93,000. For reference only; everyone should adjust their strategies according to their risk preferences.
The market changes rapidly, and no one can predict the direction 100% of the time, but having a contingency plan can prevent being swayed by emotions. Don’t be greedy when it rises, don’t panic when it falls, and steady progress is the long-term way.
It’s better to keep your eyes open for opportunities than to blindly gamble; follow my account, and I will share some early projects in potential tracks, as well as practical strategies that can truly be implemented.
