$BTC

The large pancake may continue to maintain fluctuations around 95000. Currently, it is important to pay attention to the strength of the support level at 94000 below.

In the medium to long term, there are still potential risks in the labor market. The continuous shrinking of manufacturing employment and low corporate morale may translate into more obvious layoff pressures in the coming months.

This is especially true in the context of increased economic uncertainty caused by Trump's remarks. If policy uncertainty persists, economic risks will significantly increase, and the Federal Reserve's policy path will become a key variable.

Current market expectations for a rate cut in June have been significantly reduced. If subsequent data continues to show resilience in the labor market, the Federal Reserve may further delay rate cuts, and the total number of rate cuts for the year may even be less than three. This will support U.S. Treasury yields and the dollar, but may put pressure on risk assets.

Next, let's take a look at Powell's speech content next Thursday, as well as the inflation data from late May and the Federal Reserve's meeting minutes, which can help assess the further direction of monetary policy.

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