Many fans ask me if I will look at analyses from big influencers. To be honest, I do follow them, but I can't rely on their analysis. I believe my analytical ability is already unique, and I don't need external factors to influence my mindset or sway my analysis.
The bull market from 2024 to 2025 has many significant trends that are firmly grasped.
January 11, 2024: After BTC spot ETF approval at 48900, I expect a bearish trend towards 35000 (with 38300 experiencing fluctuations).
In April 2024, I predict a bearish trend at 73000 and 57500, ultimately reaching 56500.
By the end of July 2024, I see 72000 being broken down to 65 and then to 5, even 48900 (85 black swan events firmly grasped), followed by an upward trend in the monthly cycle.
On September 6, 2024, I foresee a bearish trend at 53000 for bottoming out (market at 52500).
On October 10, 2024, with CPI at 60500, it ultimately rebounds to 58900, supported at 60500.
On November 5, 2024, I predict a bullish trend at 66800, but unfortunately, I didn't see it break 10.
On December 6, 2024, I expect a bearish trend to 90500, but it actually rises to 89000.
In 2024, I predict a bearish trend to 94500, followed by a reversal to the upside.
In 2025, there will be a downward fluctuation from a high position (weekly MACD death cross formation).
In April 2025, I predict a bullish trend at 74400, leading to a fluctuating monthly cycle upward, until a bull market is formed (weekly MACD death cross close to zero, fast line DIF touching bottom and bouncing back).
From 83000 to 85000, there will be fluctuations breaking through 86000 until 91800 to 95000, eventually narrowing to 92800 to 95000 fluctuations.
Currently, I am watching for a drop in early May. The market is at 89000-90500.
The only regret is that I anticipated a bearish trend last Christmas, but the market crashed three or four days earlier, resulting in a slightly late layout. Looking back, I can think of one point: during Western holidays, companies need to settle accounts in advance, so they won't wait until the New Year’s Day; they definitely have to act early, just like our Chinese Spring Festival. Companies give holidays, pay salaries, year-end bonuses, and various year-end settlements ahead of time. 😂😂😂
