I. Key position analysis
- Support levels:
- Core support: 4-hour level 150 (holding above maintains the upward trend, breaking below weakens it).
- Secondary support: 147.4 → 144.8 → 141.2 (target gradually declines after breaking).
- Resistance levels:
- Short-term resistance: 153.4 (nearby resistance), after breaking look towards 157.2 → 159.4 (advanced resistance levels).
II. Two scenario operation strategies
1. Holding above 150: Bullish mindset
- Signal: 4-hour closing price holds above 150, short-term pullback has not broken this level.
- Operation:
- Long position opportunities: Enter lightly in the range of 150-151, set stop loss below 149, target initially at 153.4, move up to 157.2 after breaking.
- Logic: Bulls control the market, expecting to continue the upward trend after holding critical levels, betting on upward breakouts.
2. Breaking below 150: Bearish mindset
- Signal: 4-hour closing price breaks below 150, rebound is blocked below this level.
- Operation:
- Short position opportunities: Enter lightly in the range of 149.5-150, set stop loss above 151, target downward to 147.4, extend to 144.8 after breaking.
- Logic: 4-hour level breakout, market turns to pullback, need to guard against intensified short selling pressure.
III. Key points for risk control
1. Position management: Single trade position ≤ 20%, avoid the risk of heavy positions caused by chasing prices.
2. Stop-loss discipline: Exit decisively if long positions break 149 or short positions break 151, to prevent trend reversal losses from expanding.
3. Market linkage: SOL is strongly correlated with mainstream coins like BTC and ETH, need to pay attention to key levels like 96300 for Bitcoin and 1830 for Ethereum.
4. Time period characteristics: After 21:30 at night, volatility may increase due to U.S. stock market influences, it is advised to set conditional orders or reduce monitoring pressure.
IV. Summary
- Core logic: 150 is the dividing line for bullish and bearish trends, holding above it opens up upward space, breaking below it initiates a 4-hour level pullback.
- Strategy focus:
- Bullish: Relying on support at 150 to buy low, aiming for the upward resistance levels.
- Bearish: Only participate in short positions after effective breakouts, take profits in batches at lower support levels.
- Operation suggestion: Those seeking stability can wait for a clear breakout signal (like a strong close above 153.4 or a drop below 147.4) before entering, avoiding frequent stop losses within the range.$SOL #SOL走势