【In-depth Analysis of the Phenomenal Fluctuation of Alpaca Coin】
The recent drastic fluctuations in the price of Alpaca Coin reflect the structural dilemmas in the crypto market:
1. Dwindling Liquidity in the Spot Market
The current market lacks a clear main theme, with old altcoins generally facing the risk of delisting and extremely low depth in spot trading. The backlog of trapped positions has led to the withdrawal of main capital, and the traditional "speculating on expectations" model has failed, leaving the market in a stagnant state of "no topics to speculate on, no incremental funds."
2. Zero-sum Game in the Contract Battlefield
After the retreat of spot trading, high-leverage contracts have become the main battlefield for capital. The long-short game has detached from fundamentals, evolving into pure mutual liquidation of stagnant capital—short-sellers' strong pressure can trigger counter-sniping, causing price fluctuations to be extremely amplified. In this "casino-style" game, the market resembles a "crypto version of Auschwitz," with the only survivor being the extreme capital force that has harvested the shorts.
3. Vicious Cycle of Market Ecology
- Low market cap coins, due to low pump costs, become short-selling targets, but short-selling will attract larger funds to counter-snipe, forming a "long-short strangulation" death cycle;
- The exhaustion of liquidity in the spot market and intensified harvesting of contracts further lead to the collapse of market confidence, creating a deadlock of "no one taking over hot altcoins, mainstream coins lying flat and waiting."
【Risk Warning】
The essence of the current market is the jungle law of "capital flow determines the direction of the knife":
- For ordinary investors, holding mainstream coin spot (staying away from highly volatile altcoins), avoiding contract leverage, is the way to survive through cycles;
- Beware of any narratives of "getting rich quick"—when the market only contains speculation and harvesting, after the tide goes out, only the naked swimmers are left.
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