【In-depth Analysis of the Phenomenal Volatility of Alpaca Coin】
The recent dramatic fluctuations in the price of Alpaca Coin reflect the structural dilemmas in the crypto market:
1. Exhaustion of Liquidity in the Spot Market
The current market lacks a clear main narrative, and older altcoins face widespread delisting risks, with extremely low trading depth in the spot market. The backlog of trapped positions has led to the withdrawal of major funds, rendering the traditional 'speculating on expectations' model ineffective, and the market has fallen into a stagnant state of 'no themes to speculate on, no incremental funds'.
2. Zero-Sum Game in the Contract Arena
After the retreat of the spot market, high-leverage contracts have become the main battleground for funds. The long-short game has detached from the fundamentals and evolved into a pure mutual liquidation of existing funds—strong short positions will trigger counter-sniping from opposing positions, and price fluctuations are amplified to extremes. Under this 'casino-like' game, the market resembles a 'cryptocurrency version of Auschwitz', where the only survivors are the extreme financial forces that harvest the shorts.
3. Vicious Cycle of Market Ecology
- Low market cap coins have become shorting targets due to low pump costs, but shorting will attract larger funds for counterattacks, creating a 'long-short stranglehold' death cycle;
- The exhaustion of spot liquidity and intensified contract harvesting further leads to a collapse of market confidence, resulting in a deadlock of 'no one picking up the hot altcoins, mainstream coins lying flat and watching'.
【Risk Warning】
The current essence of the market is the jungle law of 'the flow of funds determines the direction of the sickle':
- For ordinary investors, holding mainstream coins in the spot market (staying away from high-volatility altcoins), and avoiding contract leverage is the way to survive through cycles;
- Beware of any 'get-rich-quick' narratives—when the market is left with only speculation and harvesting, there will be only naked swimmers left when the tide goes out.
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