When will $BTC BTC peak?

Latest model evaluation

Current price: $94,000

Quantitative model risk score: 56.6%

Current phase: Initiating the second impact, attempting to break through the critical point into the speculative acceleration range.

Historical context: In previous cycles, the price always experiences one or two failed breakthroughs (traps) before the final peak.

Valuation comparison: The current phase is equivalent to November 2020 (when Bitcoin was at $13,000), after which the price soared from $13,000 to $61,000.

Current analysis: This round involves participation from Trump, institutions, listed companies, celebrities, etc., while being constrained by tight monetary policy and concerns about economic recession, which may slow the pace of increase.

But the key point is: The Federal Reserve's monetary policy has basically confirmed its entry into a loosening channel.