High Bitcoin ETF inflows fuel short-term price gains but resistance looms near key psychological levels
Bitcoin (BTC) has shown strong recovery momentum, climbing above $94,500, but analysts caution that significant resistance around $100,000 could cap further gains despite robust ETF inflows.
Bitcoin ETF Inflows Surge to $3 Billion, But Do They Signal a Top?
Bitcoin’s rally from $74,400 to current levels was supported by renewed investor interest in spot Bitcoin ETFs, which recorded $3.06 billion in net weekly inflows — the largest since December 2025, according to Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView data.
Historically, large ETF inflows have shown mixed signals regarding Bitcoin price tops:
In March 2024, inflows over $1 billion coincided with Bitcoin’s rally to new all-time highs around $73,300, followed by corrections.
Similarly, June 2024 inflows preceded a rally from $67,000 to $72,000, before a sharp 25% correction.
However, November 2024 inflows of $3.38 billion led to Bitcoin breaking the $100,000 mark without an immediate reversal, suggesting that high inflows do not always precede a market top.
Market analytics firm FalconX used a Vector Autoregression model to show that Bitcoin ETF inflows have short-term predictive power for price increases but do not reliably signal major reversals.
Bitcoin Faces Resistance at $95K to $100K Range
Bitcoin’s 27% rally from recent lows has flipped critical support levels, including the:
50-day SMA at $85,100,
100-day SMA at $90,570,
and 200-day SMA at $89,300.
Currently, Bitcoin consolidates under the $95,000 resistance zone, with notable seller interest between $97,000 and $100,000, according to monitoring resource CoinGlass.
Popular crypto analyst AlphaBTC noted:
"The $95,000 level has contained Bitcoin's price over the past few days. A breakout is possible, but reaching $100K may trigger a larger pullback."
Similarly, Material Indicators co-founder Keith Alan expressed skepticism about Bitcoin sustaining a move above $95,000 without stronger catalysts.
Trading firm QCP Capital also warned that while the sentiment remains positive, Bitcoin lacks a clear catalyst to propel it decisively beyond the psychological $100,000 threshold.
Short-Term Strength, Medium-Term Caution
While Bitcoin ETF inflows continue to provide a strong foundation for bullish momentum, analysts caution that price movements toward $100,000 could face significant liquidity-driven resistance.
The coming weeks could determine whether Bitcoin’s rally extends into new all-time highs or whether a consolidation phase will set in, as investors weigh macroeconomic developments and further ETF flows, according to Cointelegraph.
