Whether there are still opportunities in the crypto world in 2025 and whether there can still be a bull market is a question involving multiple factors. Here is a detailed answer based on the latest analysis and predictions:
1. The foundation of Bitcoin's bull market
Halving Effect: Bitcoin's halving is an important factor driving price increases. After the halving in April 2024, miners' daily output will drop to 450 coins, while the average daily purchase volume of institutional spot ETFs is as high as 1,000 coins, leading to demand far exceeding supply, which may trigger liquidity tightening and push prices soaring.
Global Monetary Easing: The market generally expects the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates in mid-2025, and a global liquidity turning point is approaching. Historical data shows that Bitcoin prices are highly correlated with the growth rate of global M2 money supply, with an approximate two-month lag effect.
Technical Indicators: On-chain data MVRV Z-Score shows that the current Bitcoin valuation level is similar to the early stages of the 2017 bull market, with potential increases reaching hundreds of percentage points.
2. Opportunities and risks in altcoins
Opportunities:
AI Tokens: For example, FET, if supported by Musk or other famous individuals, may attract a large influx of funds.
Real Asset Tokens: For example, OND and MKR, if the U.S. passes stablecoin legislation, these coins may soar.
Community Meme Coins: For example, DOGE and SHIB, these coins may perform strongly in the short term due to manipulation by whales.
Risk:
Zeroing Accelerator: Many altcoin projects may fail quickly due to lack of real value, with some gaming coins dropping by as much as 99%.
Exchange Tricks: Many altcoin trades may be manipulated by quantitative robots, making it easy for retail investors to get cut after they enter.
3. Comprehensive advice
Dollar-Cost Averaging in Bitcoin: After receiving the monthly salary, first purchase 0.01 BTC as a means of preserving value.
Three No Principles for Altcoins: Do not invest in altcoins with market caps not in the top 50, do not invest in altcoins not listed on Binance, and do not invest in altcoins with fewer than 100,000 Twitter followers.
Exit Signal: When Bitcoin's market share exceeds 70%, one should quickly withdraw to avoid a collective crash of altcoins.
Will there still be a bull market in the crypto world in 2025?
Recently, investors in the crypto world have been discussing a question: Will there still be a bull market in 2025? Have we already entered a bear market? Will Bitcoin drop further? Will it reach new highs again? These questions seem unrelated, but actually point to a core issue: we cannot accurately judge the bull-bear trend in the crypto world.
I. Why is it difficult for everyone to judge bulls and bears?
Many people say: "I know this is a bull market, I just don't know when it will rise..." or "I think this is a bear market; look, the market has been going down all the time, right?" But in reality, this way of judgment is very passive and is a typical case of hindsight. True bull-bear judgment is not about saying it's a bull market when it rises and a bear market when it falls. If so, what’s the difference between that and saying it rains when you see rain or saying it’s summer when you see the sun?
II. How to accurately judge bulls and bears?
1. Establish a set of judgment criteria.
The premise for judging bulls and bears is having a set of practical and universal standards. This set of standards should be effective in every past bull and bear market cycle and should correctly judge when to hit the bottom and when to peak across different cryptocurrencies. Only in this way can you truly master the method of judging bulls and bears.
2. The importance of technical analysis.
Technical analysis is an important tool for judging bulls and bears. Although the market is constantly changing, the core principles of technical analysis remain effective. For example, some classic technical indicators (such as MACD, KDJ, etc.) and patterns (such as head-and-shoulders, double bottoms, etc.) can still provide valuable references in many cases.
3. Learn from traditional wisdom
Some technical analysis methods are not only based on modern financial theories but also incorporate traditional wisdom. For example, the "潜龙战法" mentioned in the text originates from the I Ching, an ancient wisdom that helps us understand market rules from a higher dimension. The I Ching, as the source of all scriptures of the Chinese nation, has endured countless dynasties and changes, and its wisdom transcends time and space.
III. What should we do in the face of market anxiety?
1. Stay calm and avoid blind decisions.
Currently, many investors feel anxious, worried, or even desperate. In such emotions, it is easy to make wrong decisions. Therefore, staying calm and stabilizing the mind is very important. Only with a peaceful mindset can rational judgments be made in a complex market.
. Establish your own trading system.
In the market, having a system that helps us judge bulls and bears and achieve long-term stable profits is fundamental to survival. This system should not only include technical analysis but also cover aspects like capital management and risk control.
3. Continue learning and improving your abilities.
The market is constantly changing, and investors need to continue learning and improve their skills. Whether it's technical analysis, fundamental analysis, or understanding market sentiment, these are skills we need to continuously accumulate and enhance.
IV. Will the bull market in the crypto world return in 2025?
While we cannot accurately predict the future, by establishing a set of scientific judgment criteria and trading systems, we can better cope with market uncertainty. The crypto market in 2025 is indeed full of challenges, but as long as we master the right methods, it is still possible to seize the opportunities of a bull market.
V. Conclusion
The crypto market in 2025 is full of uncertainty, but that is also its charm. In the face of market fluctuations, we should not passively wait; instead, we should actively learn, establish our trading systems, and maintain a calm mindset. Only in this way can we find our opportunities in the complex market.
So how do we seize opportunities when the bull market arrives?
Mindset
Financial investments, whether in the stock market, futures market, or cryptocurrency market, ultimately rely on mindset, and a good mindset constitutes a large part of success.
In a bear market, it may also be necessary to pay attention to the fundamentals of projects and technical aspects of K-line analysis, but in a bull market, everyone is in a FOMO state, making technical and fundamental analyses less significant. The market follows emotions; whoever can maintain a good mindset, perceive changes in market sentiment, and avoid distorted operations can succeed in this market.
Conversely, if the mindset is poor and one holds a get-rich-quick attitude, the moment the market slightly deviates from one's expectations—especially when seeing others making profits while incurring losses—can lead to a mindset collapse, resulting in distorted operations and ultimately getting harvested by the market.
It is known that the final stages of a major bull market are characterized by chaotic dancing, and almost all cryptocurrencies will rise; it’s just a matter of how much they rise. As long as one is not greedy and can maintain composure, holding onto coins in a bull market is not difficult for making profits.
