The inflow of ETF data for Bitcoin can serve as a clear direction for the recent market trends. Large inflows increase the probability of upward fluctuations, while outflows will increase the downward range. This can also serve as a reference signal for taking profits and exiting trades.
In summary, the expectation for Bitcoin in the future is to lower interest rates, including expectations for reserves. With these two expectations in place, whether for future trading days or the arrival of May, any pullback can be gradually accumulated. As long as the expectation exists, there’s no need to fear. Bitcoin operates on a cyclical basis, not merely betting on a rebound. If you’re looking for rebounds, there are many more opportunities in altcoins than in Bitcoin. Those who can endure should slowly accumulate Bitcoin during pullbacks to enjoy the cyclical dividends.
May is approaching, and there are a few risk warnings. It is highly likely that there will be speculation on interest rate cuts in May, but the tariff issues may repeat themselves in the first half of the month. Additionally, as U.S. stocks enter earnings season, many companies are likely to lower their future earnings expectations (forward EPS). This could lead to a probable decline in U.S. stocks. If Bitcoin follows this decline, then 85,000 can be gradually accumulated, followed closely by speculation on interest rate cuts.
However, the current market is as unpredictable as Trump’s words, changing day by day. The key point remains: we need to have expectations first. Once we have expectations, we can respond promptly when the market trends arrive.
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