Daily Vol ed. 2025-04-19 ⚖️🐻

BTC makes another attempt at 88k and having trouble breaking through.

Some pretty sizable spot CVDs trying to get it through atm.

This is an important trigger for risk on/off i reckon(the previous attempt was during Liberation day)

Alts also dumping very hard into this resistance showing some bearish signals;

- Lack of demand on alts other than for a short squeeze and

- still plenty of supply overhang left over.

Current thinking

Staying neutral and airing towards bearish as we’re at the top of the range.

Positioning : Delta-neutral.

- Long BTC(Bidding below 80k), HYPE

- Short ETH, SOL, ENA, XRP, APT, SUI, TRUMP, FARTCOIN…

Positives

- Continued BTC/SPX strength

- Macro bottom call from Felix based on extreme pessimism

Negatives

- Hawkish Powell

- Bonds market is fine - Joseph Wang

- Retail still buying dips - Julian Brigden

- Debt refinancing wall in summer - Michael Howell

Stay safe frens

🕹️Currently trading mostly on @Lighter_xyz

Closed beta. Early. Points. ZK-tech. 200% apy LP-Vaults. Backed by big names. Use link to join the party. DM for access as I'm running short on codes. Only serious players apply.