Visually — calm. In fact — charged dynamite.
Bitcoin continues to hover in a narrow range of 83,000 – 85,500, and at first glance, it seems like everyone is resting. But the liquidation map, on-chain metrics, and technical analysis hint: this is not a rest. This is preparation for a shot.
1. The chart says: flat — a trap
On the 4H chart:
The price is trapped in the Ichimoku cloud — neither bulls nor bears dominate.
MACD is exhausting, while RSI is hovering in the neutral zone.
But therein lies the essence: the market is gaining liquidity to shoot where it hurts the most — at the stops.
2. Liquidation map: who will be the victim?
Above — dense layers of short liquidations around 86–87K.
Below — a mined area with longs from 82.5K and below.
Conclusion: breaking one of the boundaries of the flat corridor will trigger a cascade of liquidations. And it's not a fact that the market will go where you expect.
3. On-chain: whales have gone into the shadows
Only 1.35% of addresses have a balance >$100K.
However, 74% hold BTC for more than a year — iron nerves.
This is classic before the storm: investors are waiting.
4. Macro: Powell "squeezed" the market
The Fed kept the rate unchanged. Hints of postponing a cut — like a bucket of cold water for the bulls.
But here's what's interesting: Bitcoin has barely dropped. This is either strength or... the calm before the storm.
5. Trading scenarios: prepare a plan before it's too late
Scenario 1 (main): Short
Break of 83K → 81.5K → 80.5K
When breaking down with volume.
Stop: >85.6K
Target: 78.5K
Scenario 2 (alternative): Long
Break of 85.5K → 86.8K – 88K
Entry on the impulse followed by a short squeeze.
Stop: <84K
Target: 87.5K+
BTC — like a compressed spring. The longer the flat, the stronger the shot will be.
Stay alert and don’t fall for the first impulse — it’s likely a trap.