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📊Seasonal dynamics of major crypto assets for May. 🪙Bitcoin - for bitcoin, May was a good month and closed 64% of the time in the plus side, with an average return of 11.5% 🪙Ethereum - for ether, the month closed historically above the open in 56% of cases, with an average return of 38.5%. I remember a few major market crashes in May, but we were at the highs then, at this point the market has started to rise, but after a 70-80% crash it's dust. Ideally, I would like to see bitcoin sticking near 100K in May and a gradual decline in dominance, to transfer some liquidity to ether and alta. What do you think awaits us in May? #Seasonality $BTC $ETH

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Part 2 🧮 Statistics This week markets are waiting for the release of key macro statistics: Nonfarm Payrolls, Unemployment, Inflation (Core PCE), PMI and Consumer Confidence. Already released US GDP for Q1 was much worse than expected (0.4% vs. 2.4% forecast), which reinforced expectations of Fed rate cuts. Expectations of weak labor market and inflation data may support the crypto market and risk assets, but also increase volatility. The reaction will depend on the actual numbers. 🏦 Earnings. This week, markets are awaiting reports from major US companies Microsoft, Meta, Amazon, Apple, Mastercard, Pfizer, Coca-Cola, ExxonMobil, Chevron, Visa, PayPal, McDonald's, Booking, Spotify, Spotify, Robinhood, Reddit, Airbnb and others. Volatility may increase - the reporting of BigTech, financial sector and energy leaders can set the tone for the whole market and influence investor sentiment, including the crypto market. ⚡ Crypto Metrics Many metrics are forming an attempt to break the downtrend and some have already done so, but most require confirmation. 💡 Forecast: * BTC: Price is sideways, just in the zone I highlighted in the last review, which is the supply zone and past active bear participation. In the current zone there can be a deeper correction and work out the distribution according to Wyckoff, in this scenario the price will tend to the zone of 90 or even 85K. Consolidation above 95K will cancel this scenario. There may be false breakouts, which complicates trading in this zone. It is a bad place to trade. Key support is 90K. * ETH: The price broke through the zone of 1.7-1.75K but there was no acceleration. The main liquidity is in bitcoin and for a full-fledged reversal we need to see the fall of its dominance, so far it is not. The key support is 1.53K.

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A lot of text, average hamsters pass by as it is not possible for them to cope with so much. As always, at the beginning of the week we summarize and analyze the crypto market. Part 1 🕒 Last week I expected bitcoin to continue local growth with targets 90-92K and further growth was questionable due to strong supply. The scenario was realized and the targets were reached. On ether the important zone of 1.75K, breakdown of which will give the way up, the breakdown occurred and the price became sideways over the past resistance, which has now turned into a support zone. Liquidation Map: We need to understand important liquidation zones where there could be acceleration in price movement. BTC bottom 90.6K and top 97.5K strong Long skew, which I don't like. ETH bottom 1.5K and top 1.9K 💼 ETF Market: Funds showed strong inflows into assets, especially bitcoin. Total for the period April 21-25, 2025: * Bitcoin Spot ETF: +$3 billion USD * Ethereum Spot ETF: +157 million USD ⛓️ Onchain Metrics: The bitcoin and ether network saw a strong withdrawal of bitcoin from CEX exchanges, which could indicate a position set. The leverage ratio reached a 2-year high, indicating increased risk-taking by market participants, especially for etherium. Open interest in derivatives is showing a rebound, but not that much. 🌐 Macroeconomics: The current week is very important for the markets as it could significantly affect the probabilities of rate cuts and other measures by the Fed's financial regulator. The tariff wars between China and the US that are ongoing are making capital nervous and buying up defensive assets. Most likely this trend will continue and risk assets will remain under pressure in the coming weeks. $BTC $ETH

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$XRP #DCA 🙋‍♂️ Hey guys. 💡 On the back of the news that CME Group officially announced the launch of XRP futures trading, the early front of this event has started and the price has started to rise. 📈 The price returned above the important 2.15 zone, which could potentially lead to the development of a local HYP pattern with targets of 2.8-2.9$. 💰 Buying up by 70$ from last week as part of the DCA portfolio . 🖋️ Recall that I allocate $10 daily for cryptocurrency investing and make a purchase once a week. Results and portfolio views are publicly available. 🚀 If this was useful subscribe to not miss anything and give me a reaction 👍

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Quick cryptometrics update. Total crypto market capitalization increased from $2.5 trillion to $2.9 trillion 📈. Bitcoin's dominance is declining, but the trend is holding at 65-70% 🟠; a breakout of the uptrend is needed for a reversal. Efirium is testing downtrend, in sideways ⚖️; need 8% breakout with consolidation for reversal. USDT dominance broke uptrend, down to 5% 🟢, which may support cryptoasset price gains; USDT capitalization is $145 billion 💵, total altcoin capitalization rises to $900 billion. Altcoins (without top 10) formed W-pattern, broke downtrend, but traded sideways 🟪; need consolidation above $250 bln for growth. Dollar Index is recovering, expected sideways around 100 in next 1-2 months 💹

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