#加密市场反弹 , Rebound or Reversal

First, let's say the conclusion is a rebound

Good morning everyone, today let's discuss Bitcoin. The temporary suspension of tariffs for 90 days has shaken the market twice, and of course, the triple hit from U.S. Treasury, stocks, and foreign exchange assisted. The back-and-forth news has led the market funds to seek safe havens, causing gold to rise. As I mentioned in my analysis a couple of days ago, the small probability event of reaching 84000 has occurred. Over the weekend, during the Asian trading session, the shorts were forcibly pushed to 86000, which was expected; it's best to avoid speculation over the weekend.

Since BTC passed through the ETF, its hedging ability has weakened, beginning to resemble U.S. stocks, showing less in the rise but very clearly in the decline and correction.

What is the current situation? In my view, it is a game, a bait 🪤, a point for adding positions (divergence at the daily level, U.S. stock rebound, altcoins polarizing) (the timing for altcoins is not right; the real timing has the effect of using four ounces to move a thousand pounds)

Objective: 1. Shallow. Blow up the short positions, give the market confidence

2. Deep. Fool Americans into bottom-fishing BTC's ETF for easy unloading.

Reason: Most ETF buyers are in profit.

So, with a large amount of ETF selling this month, retail investors' psychological emotions are beginning to stir. The main players are starting to cooperate with the news to create a favorable situation, and those who previously bottomed out will start to take partial profits, triggering greed. In the end, this leads to a silent kill, causing total losses.

Side verification:

1. China firmly confronting tariffs

2. The future economic system settlement currency in the Asia-Pacific region is likely to be Renminbi

3. The U.S. partially compromises on tariffs, news on the 12th

In the short to medium term, Bitcoin still looks to start with a 6, while Ethereum seems to be weaker. Those who should have laid out shorts should do so. Starting next week, the impact of tariffs will gradually manifest, with unemployment and inflation; what is meant to come will eventually come.