Bitcoin is going through a downward phase after the highs reached in December 2024 and January 2025.
Analyzing the cyclical analysis of Bitcoin that takes into account the price movements in relation to the various Halvings, one can see that there is a certain resemblance to the movements that occurred after the third halving in 2020. In fact, one year after the halving, prices are going down, but this is not necessarily a sign of decline.
It is likely that we should expect a phase of calm with volumes thinning out more and more, but which could still trigger new short-term spikes within the bullish phase it is currently in.
The bullish phase could then exhaust itself by the end of 2025 to return to the normal downward cycle and then rise again in the months (about 16-18) preceding the next halving expected around mid-2028.
The SOPR oscillator on a monthly scale shows signs of bending that raise a red flag about the upcoming market phases.
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Have a good day
Pier
